Cummings going opens up a little UK-EU trade window. But only a little one

Cummings going opens up a little UK-EU trade window. But only a little one

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The odds should still remain on No Deal Coincidence? Maybe. Dominic Cummings’ departure from Downing Street has been a long time coming. Ever since that fateful dash to County Durham during the first lockdown was revealed to the media, he’s been a man living on borrowed time. But then he always was. Cummings claimed in a blog at the start of the year that he wished to make himself largely redundant to Number 10 by the end of the year….

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What’s Trump’s sulk going to do to his party’s chances in the Georgia run-offs?

What’s Trump’s sulk going to do to his party’s chances in the Georgia run-offs?

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The two things that dominate US politics at the moment are the refusal of the incumbent, Donald Trump, to acknowledge that he was beaten in the the general election two weeks ago and what is going to happen in the Georgia election in January when the future control of the Senate will be at stake. It’s got to stage where even ultra trump loyalists like Senator Lindsey Graham are calling on the President for Joe Biden to be allowed to…

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Cummings – the end of the line for his time at Number 10?

Cummings – the end of the line for his time at Number 10?

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This really is the end of an era The big UK political news this morning is that it appears that Dominic Cummings is on the way out as Johnson seeks to reset his team in an effort to try to pull his party’s and personal ratings back up. There’s nothing official yet but when asked about his future plans he replied “My position hasn’t changed since my January blog.”. In that lengthy post he had written “We want to improve…

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Moving on from Trump punters make it 69% chance that there will be UK-EU deal this year

Moving on from Trump punters make it 69% chance that there will be UK-EU deal this year

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Above is the market from Smarkets, the betting exchange that unlike Betfair settled Biden bets at the weekend, on whether there’ll be a UK deal with the EU by the end of December. Undoubtedly what happened on November 3rd in the US and the prospect of President Biden has impacted on punters. The chances of a quick deal with the US in the event of a no-deal Brexit must have greatly diminished and that is something that the UK and…

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Legendary Republican political strategist, Karl Rove, says the WH2020 outcome will be hard to overturn

Legendary Republican political strategist, Karl Rove, says the WH2020 outcome will be hard to overturn

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With Trump continuing to fight the verdict of voters in last week’s election there’s a warning to the White House from former adviser to Republican presidents and longstanding GOP operative, Karl Rove, about the current en passe. Writing in the Wall Street Journal he notes: To win, Mr. Trump must prove systemic fraud, with illegal votes in the tens of thousands. There is no evidence of that so far. Unless some emerges quickly, the president’s chances in court will decline…

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A Vaccine against Stupidity

A Vaccine against Stupidity

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The government must hope that Pfizer’s vaccine announcement will overshadow the continued rumblings about Kate Bingham, Chair of the Vaccine Task Force and her expensive (and, judging by results, useless) PR consultants. She is due to leave in January, as originally planned. If you believe Hancock, that is. He’s fast becoming this government’s Marie-Antoinette. According to his latest interview, people paid £670,000 for 6 months’ work in government should be thanked as they have “given up” six months of their…

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UK Punters still not totally convinced that Biden will be President

UK Punters still not totally convinced that Biden will be President

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Above is the latest betting chart from Betdata.io of the £600m Betfair next president market. With sore looser Trump continuing to refuse to accept that he was defeated and now blocking the formal transition process punters on Betfair are increasingly rating him as the winner up from a 4% chance at the weekend to a 9% chance now. Quite how long this will continue is hard to say but could we really see on January 20th, the day of the…

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