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The fight for the Lone Star State – Texas 2022

11/9/2021 Quincel Comments 0 Comment

Chart from the University of Texas Next year the US midterms take place, with the entire House, one third of the Senate, and 36 governors up for (mostly re)election. While the House and Senate generally get the media focus given their importance for what the President can or cannot pass, an interesting story is developing in Texas. I’ll give you the spoiler up front: The bookies are getting too excited about a fun but rather unlikely scenario and the incumbent…

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As we approach the twentieth anniversary of 9/11

10/9/2021 TSE Comments 0 Comment

I was out on a lunch break when my mother rang me to tell me about a plane hitting the North Tower, shortly thereafter she rang me after she saw the second plane hit South Tower. 9/11 simultaneously feels like yesterday and an aeon ago for me. TSE

Next London Mayor betting

10/9/2021 TSE Comments 0 Comment

As it stands both the next general election and the next London mayoral election are scheduled for May 2024 but I suspect the government will not allow that to happen and move to the London mayoral election a month later or so because there’s also the London Assembly elections as well. It might be similar to the decision not to hold devolved government elections on the same day as a UK wide general election. I wonder if we have a…

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Labour have their first opinion poll lead since January

9/9/2021 TSE Comments 0 Comment

Creating a client vote has consequences. Just one poll but those who backed a Labour poll lead in 2021 will be smiling. This poll is quite the eye opener and reputation shredder for the PM and the Conservatives if other pollsters show something similar. From The Times write up of this poll Less than a third of voters think Johnson and the Conservatives care about improving the NHS compared with more than half who do not, despite the fact the…

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Boris Johnson’s destruction of the key shibboleth of the Conservative Party

9/9/2021 TSE Comments 0 Comment

More people think the Labour Party is the party of low taxation than think that of the Conservative Party. If the Conservative Party isn’t the party of low taxation then what is it for? TSE

Reshuffle betting

9/9/2021 TSE Comments 0 Comment

Yesterday’s Times reported that Boris Johnson is considering a cabinet reshuffle this month as Westminster is engulfed by rumours about demotions for some of his most senior ministers. In the middle of a pivotal week for the prime minister, ambitious Tories and career officials are convinced that a shake-up is imminent and could come as soon as [Thursday]. Publicly Downing Street has said that there are “no plans” for a reshuffle — stopping short of scotching speculation altogether — while…

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Gavin Williamson has done another whoopsie

8/9/2021 TSE Comments 0 Comment

It’s going to be a difficult day for government press officers this afternoon with the news that Geronimo the Alpaca, who was executed last week, didn’t have tuberculosis according to his supporters following his autopsy, DEFRA sources say Geronimo has TB like lesions then there’s Gavin Williamson’s jaw dropping blunder, confusing two black men, Marcus Rashford and Maro Itoje. I wish I could say that such a faux pas from the Frank Spencer tribute act comes as a surprise but…

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Why I’m quitting the Conservative Party

8/9/2021 Editor Comments 0 Comment

“Levelling Up” should not be a meaningless catchphrase. If Levelling Up is to mean anything then surely it should mean that those currently without wealth can work hard, strive, take opportunities and earn money to provide for themselves and their family, and to in the words of the Prime Minister “keep more of their hard-earned money” as seen in the tweet above. Today’s tax rise on that “hard-earned money” via National Insurance is a slap in the face against the…

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