politicalbetting.com

Several years ago I had a chat with somebody from the world of politics and their sage advice was to me is that political obsessives massively overestimate the interest the general public take in politics which is why stories that we think should shift perceptions and voting intentions often don’t. Most of the public know who the Prime Minister, the Leader of the Opposition, and Chancellor of the Exchequer are, they don’t care who the Chancellor of the Duchy of…

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I am not somebody who is ever going to vote for a party that is led by Corbyn or Sultana but I appreciate choosing a good name is critical for this party. The Star Trek fan in me would like them to choose The Collective but none of those names seem appealing to me but you can make your own suggestion at the Your Party website. Given the British public, I wouldn’t rule the new party name being Party McPartyface….

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The odds in this betting market from Ladbrokes seem right to me. My expectation remains that after the next May’s elections as England, Scotland, and Wales unite to extirpate the Tories then Kemi Badenoch will be ousted. TSE

Ultimately what forced out Liz Truss was spooking the markets and the Tory party taking action, regretfully for America and the world I do not think the Republican party has the cojones to oust Trump. I cannot stress enough the markets will not stand for a country producing economic numbers that are utter bollocks solely produced to please the President, nor will it stand for the Fed being stuffed with Trump placemen/women who think inflation is a woke concept. TSE

I really like Sir Geoffrey Howe, as Margaret Thatcher’s first Chancellor of the Exchequer he helped change the economy, shattering the policies that helped make the United Kingdom the sick man of Europe despite a lot of opprobrium at the time. By making his resignation about our relationship with our European neighbours and thus Mrs Thatcher’s ousting about that led to an emotional melodrama that affected the Tory party for decades and as a result the country too given the…

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Because the Home Secretary is also responsible for supervising The Metropolitan Police the ban on mayors concurrently serving as a member of parliament doesn’t apply to the Mayor of London, a loophole Boris Johnson exploited. Angela Rayner is about to close that loophole, the fact that causes problems for Sadiq Khan, a potential rival to succeed Sir Keir Starmer is mere happenstance. I am assuming the next general election will be in 2029 and Sir Sadiq’s current term ends in…

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TSE

I suspect MPs who use ChatGPT to reply to their constituents will be seen as not caring about their constituents and that never helps with re-election. TSE