Howard ends up as winner on votes in England For more than a year we’ve been suggesting that a consolation prize for Michael Howard at the 2005 General Election might be that his party “wins” England. In terms of English seats this was always going to be challenging but in terms of votes there is a different picture. Although the all-UK vote split was LAB 35.2: CON 32.3: LD 22 the Tories have exceeded the Labour’s English vote total by…
Labour loses one in seven votes and wins easily The final week of the Labour campaign was dominated by the claim that if one in ten of its voters did not vote for the party on Thursday then there would be a Tory government. Well the results are almost all in and Labour has lost considerably more than one in ten of its 2001 vote share. The final figures show a Labour vote share loss of one one in seven…
Will David Davis share the same fate as other Tory front runners? Following Michael Howard announcement that he will stand down as Tory leader “sooner rather than later” the race is now on for a successor. And a wide range of bookmakers are operating online markets on the race. It is no surprise that the Shadow Home Secretary, David Davis, has been made the pre-race heavy favourite – but the nature of this contest is that the front runner almost…
Is 12/1 against him not lasting the year a good bet? With only the details of the General Election to be tidied up the next political betting market to open is on Tony Blair’s future. In which year will he step down? William Hill are offering: 2005 12/1: 2006 9/4: 2007 5/4: 2008 3/1: 2009 8/1: 2010 or later 20/1 We think that the 2005 price looks like a great value bet at 12/1. If there is going to be…
With almost all of the results for Grerat Britian now in we can start drawing some conclusions. From a site perspective a big winner appears to have been the BALANCE of MONEY predictions which will probably end up being closer to the actual seats results than other predictors. They were certainly a much better way or working out what seats from a given vote share would produce. We were also pleased that the concept of”tactical unwind” happened and that the…
From what we have seen so far it appears that just about all the bets we have tipped will end up as winners. We said bet on turnout at 60% or more – that is going to happen We said sell Labour vote share at the equivalent of 38.6% of the GB vote – that looks very good We said buy Lib Dem vote share at 20.5% – there should be a nice profit on that We said buy the…
Labour are now down to 365-369 seats on both IG and Sporting Index. The party is down three seats with IG on the day and two seat with SI. The projected overall Labour majority, based on what gamblers are doing, is now 88 seats. There’s been a move of two seats during the day to the Lib Dems who now stand at 66-69 on both of the major spread markets. Click for BinaryBet to see the range of interesting markets…
What pointers will we get from Labour’s expected victory here Given the amazing performance of Sunderland South last time in being first to declare ‘s hard to see any other seat getting a look in. For the declaration of Chris Mullin’s victory from Wearside came at just 10-43 pm – three minutes faster than what was achieved in 1997. The time margin over the runner-up was so great that if it had been a horse race or an athletics event…