politicalbetting.com

Will it be time for the “Daves” soon? More confirmation that the Brown Bounce is over with a Populus poll in the Times today which gives Labour just a 1-point lead. Headline figures are Labour 37, Conservatives 36, Lib Dems 18. For anyone who’s still tempted with a 2007 election, it’s currently available at 5.5 on Betfair (9/2 in “old money”). Meanwhile, former Conservative deputy leader Michael Ancram has warned against the party making “vacuous reforms” – are there any…

Read More Read More

To help ease the pressure on the server (especially after today’s outage), please continue your discussions here. Many thanks Paul Maggs “Double Carpet” Guest Editor

Firstly… today’s polls, including a DEAD-HEAT ComRes in the Independent has Lab 36, Con 36, LD 15 YouGov for GMTV has Lab 38, Con 35, LD 15 Obviously the CR poll showing the parties tied will make the biggest news, but even the YouGov poll shows that Labour’s lead is now small. Is that it for Gordon’s honeymoon, has the “Brown Bounce” run out of steam – and can we say goodbye to the prospect of an autumn election? Further…

Read More Read More

Politics stories from today’s newspapers There are no major stories today, as evidenced by the fact that most of the newspapers have different leads, and it doesn’t look as though there are any opinion polls out today either – although I’m sure that someone will correct me if there are. However, there is still plenty of political news and comment available, and the following articles may be of interest: The Sunday Times reports that Brown has come under more pressure…

Read More Read More

PBC Poster of the Year 2006-7 revealed Following a hard-fought campaign, but one which all candidates acknowledged was very clean and held in a good spirit, the final results of the competition can now be announced, with the official count of the online electronic voting being conducted at 6.30 Friday – 438 valid votes were cast. Sean Fear is the winner of the contest, with 95 votes (22%) and is the 2006-7 Poster of the Year. Sean T (79 votes/18%)…

Read More Read More

Sean Fear’s Friday slot A couple of weeks ago, I examined the impact of parties to the Right of the Conservatives. This week, I do the same with parties to the Left of Labour and the Liberal Democrats. Back in the 1980s, quite large numbers of people supported Labour’s policies of nationalisation, unilateral nuclear disarmament, restoration of the right to secondary picketing and the closed shop, and ending the sale of council houses. In fact, I can remember intelligent people…

Read More Read More

Anthony Wells of UKPolling Report emails me to tell me that he has asked Populus to disclose the poll referred to by Benedict Brogan in his blog. He wrote” “Tories say privately their internal Populus poll paints a completely different picture – the parties are level pegging and Mr Cameron’s approval rating is climbing”. Anthony’s view is that there is a requirement to disclose under the British Polling Council’s transparency rules. Normally leaks of “private polls” don’t name the pollster….

Read More Read More