Who’ll hold the seat at the end of the parliament? Labour and the LDs have had a little battle going on in Mid Bedfordshire each trying to establish that they will be the main challenger if Nadine Dorries does indeed step aside and there’s a by-election to replace her. Labour is highlighting their second place at GE2019 when although they were a long way behind they were ahead of the LDs. Davey’s party is undoubtedly the by-election king with a…
Poll finds 49% of Brits want the UK to remain – 26% say leave Some senior Tories are pressing Sunak to include a commitment to leave the European Convention on Human Rights in the party’s next election manifesto. This follows the decisions of the court on the government’s Rwanda plans. Maybe this latest poll from More in Common will cause the party to think again. It found that 49% want Britain to remain a member of the Convention while leaving…
As we have seen on previous threads many Tory supporters are getting a little bit of the confidence back with the latest R&W Paul having the deficit down to just 15%. The same trend has been seen with other firms and we are getting a bit closer to the point where a LAB majority might just be in the balance. One thing is looking pretty clear and that the days of Labour leads of 20% plus are no longer there…
Thanks to the Smarkets betting exchange for their latest betting prices on the November 2024 White Race. As can be seen the betting money is going on a Trump-Biden rematch with the Democrat getting re-elected. My view is that Trump is such a divisive character and faces so many challenges at the moment that he might fail to get the nomination. Much of the polling at his stage is less about voting intention and more about name recognition. I think…
The latest betting exchange odds on Trump being the WH2024 GOP nominee rate Trump as about a 70% chance. To me this sounds to be on the high side given the mounting criminal indictments he is facing and a new factor highlighted in the YouTube video linked to above. This is because someone who did what he did on January 6th 2021 cannot in good faith take the oath of office if he did get re-elected. The MSNBC video goes…
Yes, the headline is a shameless attempt to enter the QTWTAIN hall of fame/shame but it does raise an interesting point. MI5 are the best intelligence agency in the world, they have form for infiltrating organisations who wish break up and destroy the United Kingdom, famously with the IRA and prior to that the world changing Double-Cross system in World War II when every German agent in the UK was turned, so it would be no surprise if MI5 infiltrated…
England’s senior teams qualifying for football world cup finals are rarer than a decent Radiohead album or Boris Johnson telling the truth so the Lionesses reaching today’s world cup final is a pretty special occasion which is why the country wants Prince William to be there in Sydney this morning. The royals have erred in not sending somebody to Australia, you know the royals have screwed up badly when even the pro-monarchy Daily Mail criticises Prince William’s failure to attend….
The link to the above from the Commons library is well worth saving because of the mass of information that is available about every single Commons constituency with the new boundaries. It is well-ordered and the more you become familiar with what is available the better. Thanks to David Cowling for the link. Mike Smithson