PB’s “The Money Says” Index : CON MAJ 56 (+2) We’ve barely mentioned the commons seat spread betting markers over the past two or three weeks because there’s been hardly any movement. But I do like to do an article every two to three weeks if only as a matter of record. The day has seen a bit of a change following since the weekend YouGov and ComRes polls. Now the Tory buy level on both main markets – from…
PB’s cartoonist is Marf of LondonSketchbook.com.
thesun.co.uk
guardian.co.uk What do we think of the Brown lifeboat rumour? One good measure of how badly things are going for a leader is when apparent loyal supporters spend their time trying to work out how their person can be got out of the way painlessly leaving them some dignity. Last summer, at the bottom of Brown Slump I, a story was going round of a possible global role for Brown in Africa funded by the Gates Foundation with Bill Clinton…
Kadima win the election but look set to lose the battle for PM So, in the end, the oft-derided Israeli exit polls were right, with Kadima having a very narrow seat lead, beating Likud 28-27, but for the opinion pollsters this proved to be a “1992”, with Likud leading virtually all the polls and some by wide margins. Unlike in previous elections, the counting of the double envelope votes from the military, diplomats etc didn’t improve the showing of Likud…
Is Alan Johnson really Labour’s last chance? …and could Paul Moore bring down the PM? Under the title “Only Johnson can hold back the Tories” (I initially wondered if he was referring to Boris), the Independent’s commentator argues that Alan Johnson could be the man to save Labour from its impending electoral doom. I suspect that Labour has one last chance to avoid a crushing loss at the next election, which is why it is interesting that Alan Johnson, the…
CONSERVATIVES 44% (+1) LABOUR 32% (nc) LIB DEMS 14% (-2) And the online pollster has the LDs going down So the second of tonight’s polls is now out – YouGov for the Sunday Times – and is showing a very different picture from the ComRes survey announced earlier and the previous ICM and Populus polls. The telephone pollsters – ICM, Populus and ComRes had all reported increases in the Lib Dem shares and Labour in the 20s. YouGov has the…
CONSERVATIVES 41% (-2) LABOUR 25% (-3) LIB DEMS 22% (+6) A third poll shows a surge for Clegg’s party In what is a sensational poll the February survey from ComRes for the Indy on Sunday reports a huge increase in the Lib Dem shares, a further fall-off for Labour and the Tories still comfortably in 40s. A week ago when ICM had the Lib Dems up to 22% the initial reaction was that the survey might have been an outlier…