Your invitation to PB’s Fifth Anniversary

Your invitation to PB’s Fifth Anniversary

6 pm, March 23rd, National Liberal Club, Westminster Politicalbetting.com will be precisely five years old on Monday 23rd March and to celebrate it is throwing a party at what has now become the Site’s residence on earth, the beautiful National Liberal Club, situated just off the Embankment. Tickets will be £20 each if paid in advance or £25 cash on the door. There will be nibbles and free wine until it runs out: as the event is being generously sponsored…

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Is the Washington visit going wrong for Gord?

Is the Washington visit going wrong for Gord?

Times Online Could it be said that Obama is snubbing him? Clearly Barack Obama or his advisers can read opinion polls and it appears that they have made their minds up about Gordon Brown. For not too long after the British party arrived in Washington news came through that there will be no joint press conference between the two leaders. Instead Brown is going to have to make do with what’s described as a a “pool spray”. This is where…

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Is “certainty to vote” where Labour is being killed?

Is “certainty to vote” where Labour is being killed?

ComRes Independent poll Do bad polls lead to more bad polls? In the final days of last November’s White House race a leading US expert on voter behaviour observed: “Negative feelings about a campaign can discourage voters by making them less likely to go through what can be a painful process: Voting for someone who will lose.” Although we are probably at least a year off voting isn’t that what’s happening with Labour supporters at the moment? They saw in…

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Both Labour and the Tories up 3 with ComRes

Both Labour and the Tories up 3 with ComRes

CONSERVATIVES 44% (+3) LABOUR 28% (+3) LIB DEMS 17% (-5) But for Nick Clegg’s party it’s back to normal The big news in the last ComRes poll a fortnight ago was a sensational boost for the Lib Dems which had them at 22% – only three points behind Labour. Tonight they are back at 17% which is broadly in line with the other pollsters – the question is whether this represents a change of opinion or is partly down to…

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Can you make money on Gord’s vocabulary?

Can you make money on Gord’s vocabulary?

Link to the betting market What words will he use in Wednesday’s Congress speech Ever eager to tempt us to part with our money Ladbrokes have just introduced a market on the words that Gord will us in his speech to Congress in Washington on Wednesday. On the face of it this should be easy. Brown is not known for the range of his vocabulary and consistently falls back in the same sometimes hackneyed phrases. So how is he going…

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Will a new PH marginals poll show the same trends?

Will a new PH marginals poll show the same trends?

PoliticsHome Sept 2008 How many seats will the Tories get in Scotland? My understanding is that PoliticsHome is considering updating its massive marginals polling exercise that sought to make predictions for 238 battle-ground seats in the coming election. This is great news for as we get closer to the general election and more betting markets open up I find myself relying more and more and on the massive survey last year in which more 34,000 voters were questioned. Featured above…

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Guest Slot: Who Will Post Brown His P45?

Guest Slot: Who Will Post Brown His P45?

PO privatisation: the view from the Labour’s grass-roots Peter Mandelson’s proposals to sell off a third of Royal Mail spell electoral disaster for the Labour Party in the June elections and beyond. Last year’s local and mayoral elections were by and large catastrophic for Labour. The economic and political rollercoaster ride since then makes the 10p tax furore feel and age ago, but I remember it clear to this day. One of my roles then was to ring party members…

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Could Gord really be preparing to sack Harriet?

Could Gord really be preparing to sack Harriet?

Mail on Sunday Would she be better for Brown inside or outside the tent? There’s a piece in the Mail on Sunday today raising the possibility that the Prime Minister may be considering sacking Harriet Harman. According to the paper, “…his anger boiled over at a private meeting in No10, shouting: ‘Who the hell does that woman think she is?’ Sources say Mr Brown swore more than once during heated exchanges with aides on how to silence Labour’s Deputy Leader….

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