“Singh is King” as Congress posts best score since ’91

“Singh is King” as Congress posts best score since ’91

BBC BJP leader Advani resigns, Rahul Gandhi for Cabinet? India may have the world’s longest election in terms of the schedule of official voting days, but with the electronic voting machines the results are out fairly quickly – within a few hours of counting commencing at 8am local time, the trends had become clear and the UPA/Congress had posted a comfortable seat lead over NDA/BJP that kept on growing. The opinion polls that had the two big parties around 140…

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Is Martin’s position now untenable?

Is Martin’s position now untenable?

Click here to watch Clegg’s call Has Clegg’s call pushed this beyond the point of no return? On the face of it Michael Martin’s position is toast. A commons motion that’s been put down calling for him to go is attracting increasing all-party support and in a surprise intervention this morning Lib Dem leader, Nick Clegg called for him to go. The Clegg call was the more remarkable because the convention is that party leaders simply don’t act like that….

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How low can the Big Three go?

How low can the Big Three go?

We had all sorts of problems uploading the chart so apologies that it’s not the easiest to read. The purple / pink lines are the shares at General Elections. The yellow / peach lines are the shares at European elections.The pink and yellow lines are the shares for all parties outside the Big Three (Con, Lab, LD) The purple and peach lines are the shares for all parties outside the Big Two (Con, Lab). Will the Expenses Scandal produce a…

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UKIP hit 15% in a non-YouGov June 4th poll

UKIP hit 15% in a non-YouGov June 4th poll

Could Labour, be beaten by the UKIP caravan? In the 2004 Euro election campaign in the UK and so far during the 2009 campaign all the big shares for UKIP have come from the online pollster, YouGov or BPIX for which it carries out the fieldwork. Five years ago the firm was first to pick up the ground-swell of opinion in favour of the anti-EU party although at the end of the pollster overstated their national share. So this morning’s…

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ComRes piles the gloom on Gord

ComRes piles the gloom on Gord

ComRes home-page CON 40(-5) LAB 21(-5) LD 18 (nc) Look how opinion has changed in the last 18 days? The fieldwork for the Indy on Sunday’s poll took place on Wednesday and Thursday and the first findings (non-voting related) from the poll were, I believe, released on the Daily Politics programme yesterday. The comparisons are with the last voting intention poll from the firm where the fieldwork finished on April 26th. Again, like with the non-registered BPIX, we see a…

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Labour get 20% from the pollster that can’t be arsed

Labour get 20% from the pollster that can’t be arsed

CON 42 (-3) LAB 20(-3) LD 15 (-2) All the main parties take a BPIX hit The first poll of the weekend is out and shows that all the main parties are taking a hit with others reaching an an amazing 23%. The comparisons above are with the firm’s last survey a week ago. Clearly a lot of this is down to the expenses scandal – but we must take into account the Euro elections effect – polling around the…

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Can Michael Martin possibly survive?

Can Michael Martin possibly survive?

could it all come to an end next week? Chris Huhne MP has added his voice to those in Parliament who now consider the Speaker’s days to be numbered. Douglas Carswell MP has tabled an unprecedented motion of No Confidence in the Speaker to be debated and voted upon next week, which has since been publicly supported by Ben Wallace MP. Norman Baker MP has also said on BBC Radio Scotland that he thinks it is “the end of the…

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Is the BNP rise overstated?

Is the BNP rise overstated?

William Hill Politics What sort of regional vote shares would they need? Much has been made of the rise of the BNP, and their chances of winning seats in the European Parliament. We’ve seen some commentators notice that Labour’s PEB is no longer a beacon of multi-culturalism, and others decide to start anti-BNP campaigns. Whilst the issue of immigration and race relations has fallen off as fear about the Economy and Crime has grown, there can be no doubt that…

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