The pollster I like a lot is Ipsos is because of their history going back fifty years, they regularly produce polling like this. The general rule is if a party leader is more liked than their party then the party will poll better than the polls suggest and the opposite is true if a party leader trails their party, so on this basis Ed Davey, Zack Polanski, and Kemi Badenoch are positives for their parties whereas Sir Keir Starmer and…
There’s a lot of evidence that it might be a very special night for the Dems in the midterms. TSE
My view on private polling and canvass reports like this is that they are as reliable as Scottish sub-sample made up of 9 people in Inverkeithing or a poll of 143 residents in the constituency so I take these reports with huge dollops of cynicism. I am not backing Labour based on these reports. TSE
Normally most social media content from political parties make me cringe so hard my size eleven feet shrink to a size six but I liked this one, it’s the soundtrack that makes this content perfect. TSE
This is a stark contrast to the PB predictions competition where 59 out 66 entrants had Starmer as PM on the 31st of December 2026. TSE
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Last weekend the Scotland men’s rugby union put in the worst performance against a side from Rome since the Battle of Zama, today’s intervention by Anas Sarwar was similarly bad. All the intervention has done has strengthened Starmer in the short term at least, it just reinforces my view that it is a bloody difficult to remove a sitting Labour leader if they don’t want to go. This was also a good day for all political parties in Scotland who…
This Scottish play by Anas Sarwar to try and oust Sir Keir Starmer feels like a tipping point but only if Westminster cabinet members follow or others such as the Welsh First Minster, and metro mayors. Starmer shall never vanquished be until Great Burnham wood to high Dunsinane Hill Shall come against him. I am in meetings for the rest of the afternoon. TSE