Or is this just an irrelevance? So there we have it. The hardy annual ritual of the Queen’s Speech when David Cameron and Gordon Brown have to walk alongside each other as they progress from the House of Commons to the House of Lords. There was a time when this was a much bigger news event than it is today because it was the event that saw the revelation of the legislative programme. Mr. Brown has downgraded it a touch…
Are the LDs most vulnerable? There is a widespread assumption that the party most likely to suffer if the Greens increase their general election vote share will be the Lib Dems. The latest ComRes poll had them on a chunky 6%. On the face of it they seem to be targeting the same groups but is it actually the case that Nick Clegg’s party has most to fear? This is the second part of some analysis I’ve been doing on…
Wikimedia Commons Join the informal PB gathering Thanks to the initiative of Fat Steve there’ll be an informal PB get-together in the City, near Liverpool Street station, on Thursday November 26th. Unlike previous events this will be highly informal – a sort of “after-work drinks†for London-based PBers or those who can get there easily. Steve has found a location in a pub where it’s hoped that we can have our own area and already sixteen people have signed up….
Spectator How can he come up with such a distortion? I’ve clipped the above Rod Liddle piece from the Spectator site.(HatTip – The Screaming Eagles) In it he argues that we might be leading to a 1992-type result. Who knows? But the evidence he presents in support of his case does not match the facts. He writes that in the weeks leading up to the Glasgow NE by election “the average of a bunch of opinion polls showed the Tory…
Should you be getting your money on Tony With decision time getting very close in the EU Presidency race there’s an intriguing blog this morning from the Telegraph’s Ben Brogan. He writes “… this is what I hear. Gordon Brown is still batting ..even though he could have pulled the plug, and is doing another round with the other EU leaders even now. His point to them is quite robust: after weeks of messing about with rumpy pumpy Belgians and…
What will it do to the political climate? One of the things that we see repeatedly is that it’s often not the numbers in polls that matter but how the findings are covered in the media that has commissioned them. So on a morning when the Guardian is reporting its ICM poll with a sharp cut-back in the Tory lead the big slant is about “Cameron closing the deal“. This is based on non-voting questions about how respondents rated him…
SkyNews
CON 42%(42) LAB 29%(25) LD 19%(21) OTHERS 10% (12) [LAB/CON 69% (59.5)] But they are still in the 20s with the Tories in the 40s The latest survey in the longest standing polling series in the UK – ICM in the Guardian – has some good news for Mr. Brown following Labour’s by election success in Glasgow last Thursday. Although the Tories are on a standstill at 42 Labour sees a sharp move upwards of four points. My guess is…