Truss & Kirkbride: Twin Tory Troubles in Prospect?

Truss & Kirkbride: Twin Tory Troubles in Prospect?

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Are local parties threatening Cameron’s remodelling? In South West Norfolk, the selected Tory candidate faces deselection, the stated reason being the non-disclosure of an affair from some years back; in Bromsgrove, the sitting Tory MP has changed her mind about standing down at the election and now wishes to contest the seat. Apart from both being political fallout from the Expenses Scandal, the two stories could damage the Tory party, especially when taken together, and both concern events around local…

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Does Gord “know” that his man will win Glasgow NE?

Does Gord “know” that his man will win Glasgow NE?

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Would he have visited today if there was any doubt? One of my biggest betting errors of 2008 was to change my initial view of the Glenrothes by-election. My first thought was that Gordon Brown and Sarah would not have joined the campaign if those running the Labour operation had not advised that victory was in the bag. Straightforward thinking and I bet accordingly. Then, just three days before the vote, I got a call from a Scottish political contact…

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Boosts for UKIP and the BNP in latest PB Angus Reid poll

Boosts for UKIP and the BNP in latest PB Angus Reid poll

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CON 38%(-2) LAB 24%(+1) LD 20%(nc) UKIP 6% (+1) BNP 4% (+1) GRN 3% (nc) SNP/PC 4% (-1) And the Tories slip into the 30s? The most striking characteristics of this afternoon’s exclusive new poll by Angus Reid Strategies for Politicalbetting.com are the increases in the shares for UKIP and the BNP with the Tories slipping down to 38%. Like yesterday’s YouGov poll the total proportion of respondents opting for other parties has seen an increase with Angus Reid reporting…

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Will Brown’s “serve full term promise” help his chances?

Will Brown’s “serve full term promise” help his chances?

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Daily Record And what about his election “tip”? Interesting interview with Gordon Brown in the Daily Record this morning. The paper reports: “.DEFIANT Gordon Brown yesterday insisted Labour CAN upset the odds and win the next general election..The Prime Minister said he was still “the man for the job” and is convinced that when the country comes out of recession, voters will return Labour to power for a historic fourth term..If he is re-elected to Downing Street, Brown pledged to…

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Can this go on with little public support?

Can this go on with little public support?

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Is Brown right to acknowledge that the deployment might fail? We are in for a glut of opinion polls in the coming days on the question of Britain’s continued presence in Afghanistan – the latest being on C4 last night from YouGov which had 73% wanting an immediate or early pull-out. Today, according to the Telegraph, Mr. Brown is to make a key speech on the issue in which he will acknowledge that the British mission which has cost so…

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YouGov now have a 14 point Tory lead

YouGov now have a 14 point Tory lead

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CON 41%(nc) LAB 27%(-1) LD 17%(+1) And 73% want the troops out of Afghanistan A new 1,021 sample YouGov poll for Channel 4 where the fieldwork took place yesterday and today has a slightly increased Tory lead the result of Labour slipping a notch to 27% and the Lib Dems increasing by one point. The total for “others” is at 16% but we do not know what the breakdown of that figure is. Even the detailed data released this evening…

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What’s the next set of polls going to show?

What’s the next set of polls going to show?

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Will the Lisbon compromise mean the Tories are up or down? It’s welcome back to PB’s cartoonist, Marf, with a new drawing this afternoon neatly linking linking the Tory polling position with all the publicity about the plinth in Trafalgar Square. For the next round of surveys, including the latest exclusive poll for PB from Angus Reid Strategies, might set key pointers to the eventual general election outcome. Will the Cameron switch on the Lisbon referendum, as Labour hopes, lead…

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Is Cameron’s Lisbon luck continuing?

Is Cameron’s Lisbon luck continuing?

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BBC news What a terrible day for UKIP for this to come out? On the day after the Tory change of heart on the Lisbon referendum the anti-EU party that did so well last June, UKIP, must have been hoping for better headlines than this. This was the opportunity, surely, for them to be presenting themselves as an alternative to Cameron’s Tories. And what happens? We get the news from Southwark Crown court and UKIP has to deal with terrible…

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