Betfair Politics The chart above is from the Betfair line market where punters have bets at evens with each other on what the parties will get at the coming election. Once you get used to how it works it’s quite a neat form of betting. As can be seen the past three months have not shown much movement apart from the Tory wobble in the past week following the spate of polls having both them and Labour in the 30s….
How’s the increasing scepticism going to play? One of David Cameron’s early acts in detoxifying the Conservative brand was the increased focus on the environment and combating climate change. That was in a different, pre-recession world and the legacy of those policy decisions could be about to cause the Tory leadership problems. The BBC-commissioned Populus poll reports a significant shift in public attitudes on climate change, with the proportion who don’t think global warming is taking place having increased from…
There’s a new poll out tonight from Angus Reid on voter’s attitudes towards electoral reform – particularly the planned alternative vote system on which a referendum is planned and which MPs will decide upon this month. The survey took place amongst a sample of 2,010 people on Tuesday and Wednesday of this week while Labour’s plans were making the news. What strikes you immediately from the numbers above is how contradictory the response it. That the first question sees the…
CON SPREAD RANGES 340 – 345 Sporting Index 338 – 343 ExtraBet 344 – 347 Betfair Line market LAB SPREAD RANGES 220 – 225 Sporting Index 221 – 226 ExtraBet 215.5 – 221.5 Betfair Line market LD SPREAD RANGES 53 – 56 Sporting Index 54 – 57 ExtraBet 53 – 53.5 Betfair Line market Has the Ipsos-MORI aggregate moved the markets? After a week which saw a dramatic move against the Tories on the spread betting markets things have now…
Please can we discuss this in terms of the political consequences and not get into details of the cases themselves. We are in a very different legal situation and must do nothing that could be seen as prejudicing fair trials. Mike Smithson
Or will they be squeezed out in the Dave-Gord encounter? The general view ahead of the June 2009 Euro elections was that the parties that would gain most from the expenses scandal, which dominated the headlines for the weeks beforehand, would be UKIP, the Greens and the BNP. And so it was. UKIP easily beat Labour for second place in the national vote, the Greens had a good election while the BNP secured two seats at the EU parliament for…
What if they are only from one party? There’s lots of stories buzzing round that the Crown Prosecution Service will announce tomorrow the names of parliamentarians against whom action will be taken in the expenses scandal. According to Channel 4 News hour an ago two Labour MPs are on the list. We don’t know whether that is all or, indeed, whether this is the case. But criminal proceedings are taking the whole business one step further – and this far…
Has a PM Dave most to fear from the Gord-Ed duo? For me the big news of the week was the report that Brown would not step aside from the leadership even if, as expected, Labour loses the election. For everything we know about Brown is that he loves power and he is not going to give up easily the job he strove after for so long – even though, after May, the chances of him remaining at Number 10…