Could the weekend polls change this?

Could the weekend polls change this?

The chart above is from the Betfair line market where punters have bets at evens with each other on what the parties will get at the coming election. Once you get used to how it works it’s quite a neat form of betting.

As can be seen the past three months have not shown much movement apart from the Tory wobble in the past week following the spate of polls having both them and Labour in the 30s.

The next polls up should be ICM (I’m hoping for one in the Sunday Telegraph overnight) and Populus in the Times on Monday evening. The last surveys from both of these had Labour in the 20s and the Tories in the 40s. Will that still pertain?

There might also be other surveys overnight.

Mike Smithson

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