It was great to welcome Marf to the London gathering of PBers on Wednesday and I know that one or two of those there took the opportunity to acquire originals or prints of some of the work she has done for the site. They make very timely gifts. She can be contacted via LondonSketchBook.com Mike Smithson
Telegraph Is all it down to new invitation methodology? There’s a big piece in the Telegraph this morning raising issues that have been discussed at length on PB in the past few weeks – whether Britain’s biggest political pollster, YouGov, is over-stating Labour. The Telegraph, it should be noted, was the online firm’s first major media client – an arrangement that came after the paper switched from Gallup following the 2001 general election. That continued until two months ago when,…
YG daily poll – Sun Apr 1 Mar 31 CONSERVATIVES 39% 38% LABOUR 31% 32% LIB DEMS 19% 19% LAB to CON swing from 2005 5.5% 4.5% So all but TNS are in the same ball-park Here’s the latest daily poll by YouGov for the Sun with the Tory lead getting wider – beyond Labour’s safety zone of a hung parliament. Although the theoretical UNS swing says a bigger gap is required both Tory and Labour HQs are operating on…
ICM – Guardian Mar 31 Mar 26 CONSERVATIVES 38% 39% LABOUR 29% 31% LIB DEMS 23% 19% LAB to CON swing from 2005 6% 5.5% How does this bode for the campaign? Although less than 2 million viewers tuned in to the Channel 4 chancellors’ debate on Monday it generated a lot of associated publicity and tonight we see the benefit. A big boost for Vince’s party and Labour moving back into the 20s. The changes above are with the…
TNS-BMRB Mar XX Mar 3 CONSERVATIVES 38% 39% LABOUR 33% 31% LIB DEMS 19% 19% LAB to CON swing from 2005 4% 5.5% The new pollster adds to the confusion There’s a new poll out from TNS-BRMB, which carries out its polling face-to-face but where interviewees self-complete their responses on a lap-top in confidence. The comparisons are with the last poll from the firm a month ago. I’m not sure about the fieldwork dates but the figures look a lot…
SkyNews Who’s winning the “jobs tax” skirmish? With just five days to go before the election is expected to be called there’ve been furious exchanges over a letter from business leaders about the impact on jobs of the NI changes. It started when Peter Mandelson declared that the bosses had been fooled into backing the Tory plan. In a fast moving news cycle two of the bosses have now hit back at what they describe as “patronising” claims. All this…
Guardian ..or is it. Could it be for real? I was nearly had. I was just about to do a post on Labour’s apparent new election strategy when it twigged – today is April 1st. This is how the Guardian describes Labour “new” approach: “In an audacious new election strategy, Labour is set to embrace Gordon Brown’s reputation for anger and physical aggression, presenting the prime minister as a hard man, unafraid of confrontation, who is willing to take on…
YG daily poll – Sun Mar 31 Mar 30 CONSERVATIVES 38% 38% LABOUR 32% 31% LIB DEMS 19% 19% LAB to CON swing from 2005 4.5% 5%  Harris poll – Metro Mar 31 Mar 22 CONSERVATIVES 37% 35% LABOUR 27% 28% LIB DEMS 19% 17% LAB to CON swing from 2005 6.5% 5%  No clear winner in tonight’s polls Two polls are out tonight, the daily YouGov one for The Sun and one from Harris for Metro, report opposing movements…