Will this impact Reform’s chances in the Senedd?
‘Vote Reform get Putin’ might be a great slogan for the opponents of Reform in Wales but does Nigel Farage have the skill to deal with this and will the voters care? TSE
Andy Burnham’s passed from rising hope to Liz Truss without any intervening period whatsoever
I thought Burnham’s intervention yesterday would backfire and there’s certainly been that as we can see with Labour MP Neil Coyle’s tweet and Number 10 comparing Andy Burnham to Liz Truss. TSE
If there were an election tomorrow the Tories would be banjaxed
I would caution about reading too much into MRPs this far from an election, when the original MRP was published in 2017 it was stated by the academics behind it that MRPs become less accurate the further they are away from an election and become more reliable in the six to nine months before the election. As I noted in the previous thread, tactical voting against Reform could push them well away from a majority. TSE
Tactical voting may not be Farage’s friend
One of the uncertainties about the next election is how tactical voting will play out, fortunately there is some analysis out there and should worry Farage. The Times reports Electoral Calculus compared the number of projected seats if everyone voted with their primary voting intention, with the number of projected seats if tactical voting were taken into account. Under tactical voting Labour would gain 42 seats on its tally from people voting with their primary intention, taking its estimated total…
I have just one question to these MPs urging Burnham to challenge Starmer
Dear Labour MPs Can you explain to me the plausible route(s) Andy Burnham becomes a member of parliament before the next general election? Until you can then I will continue to lay Andy Burnham in the appropriate markets. Wanting Burnham to replace Starmer now is a bit like casting a eunuch as a porn star, it just want won’t work, I suspect Burnham’s intervention may weaken Starmer and see him replaced before Burnham becomes a member of parliament. Actually I…
The public are clear about how to deal with Russian aggression
TSE
Reasons why Brits won’t vote Lib Dem, number four will shock you
I find this polling fascinating as I feel there is the possibility of the Lib Dems potentially eclipsing one if not both of Labour and the the Tories at the next election. As somebody who is a fan of the 2010 coalition I am surprised that it is the fourth most cited reason but then it might be caused left wing voters from Labour and the Greens upset that the Lib Dems put the Tories in power. If I were…
Could an Aberdeenshire hotelier become our Prime Minister?
After reading this article by Sir Jacob Rees-Mogg I am about to do the following The reason I am so confident about this is Trump’s really poor ratings with British voters even before we consider the logistical and age related challenges of Trump standing to become the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom. TSE PS – Choosing a picture to accompany an article is a joy few have experienced but what on earth is going on in the picture the…