Where have all the billboard posters gone?

Where have all the billboard posters gone?

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Why’s Labour not using such a traditionally effective medium? All elections are different in some way from what’s gone before as new campaigning techniques and opportunities come in, as new issues and concerns arise and as new candidates find alternative ways of interacting with the electorate. This one’s no exception. While much has rightly been made of the TV debates – by far the biggest innovation of the 2010 election – one major component of recent elections seems curiously absent this…

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Libs Dems edge back a point in the daily poll

Libs Dems edge back a point in the daily poll

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YouGov Daily Poll – Sun Apr 23 Apr 22 CONSERVATIVES 34% 34% LIB DEMS 29% 28% LABOUR 29% 29% It’s almost no change after the second debate This evening’s YouGov daily poll for the Sun is just out and apart from the one point lift for the Lib Dems it’s no change. This is the first poll where all the fieldwork followed the debate and both the red and blue teams might feel a tad disappointed not to have seen…

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General Election projection: Tories 48 seats short

General Election projection: Tories 48 seats short

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For interactive map go to PoliticsHome Dr Rob Ford (University of Manchester), Dr Will Jennings (University of Manchester), Dr Mark Pickup (Simon Fraser University) and Professor Christopher Wlezien (Temple University) explain their vote projection method now published and updated regularly at Politics Home. As PB readers and regulars know, interpreting the torrent of polling during an election campaign is a difficult task. The ‘horse race’ attracts widespread interest and can shape the tone of the campaign. Yet, true patterns of…

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Is it all pointing to a big turnout?

Is it all pointing to a big turnout?

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Wikimedia What’s the best betting option? For my Guardian election betting tip today I highlight a finding from this week’s MORI poll in which 78% of voters say the outcome of the election is important to them personally. The response level at this stage of a campaign to the same question was only exceeded in 1992. Then, it will be recalled, turnout was just under 78%. Clearly a combination of the TV debates and the hard-to-predict outcome is adding to…

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So was Cameron the “Comeback Kid”?

So was Cameron the “Comeback Kid”?

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Who won 2nd debate? ICM AR YouGov ComRes Populus Cameron 29% 32% 36% 30% 37% Clegg 33% 33% 32% 33% 36% Brown 29% 23% 29% 30% 27% UPDATED 0755 Clegg wins by three pollsters to two Clearly there will be great relief in the blue camp about the outcome last night although, as can be seen, the message from the pollsters in their instant surveys was mixed. In terms of straight wins it was Clegg 3 Cameron 2 with Brown…

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The debate thread – continued

The debate thread – continued

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Angus Reid are running their usual polling operation where you will be able to watch the numbers live as they come in. This should start after the debate. See here. Election betting from the new political betting exchange Smarkets or from Ladbrokes. Mike Smithson

Lib Dems down to third in the daily poll

Lib Dems down to third in the daily poll

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YouGov Daily Poll – Sun Apr 22 Apr 21 CONSERVATIVES 34% 33% LIB DEMS 28% 31% LABOUR 29% 27% The media onslaught takes a bit of a toll What’s probably the only pre-debate poll tonight is out and the numbers are above. For the first time since the first debate a week ago the Lib Dems are back in third place. Clearly all eyes will be looking to Bristol this evening for the second leaders’ debate. Things might look very…

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