Majority betting NOM CON LAB OTH/LD Ladbrokes 4/6 11/8 16/1 20/1 Political Smarkets 72% 37% 10% 10% There have been rumours about tonight’s YouGov poll but we’ve been caught before. We’ll wait until we get some authoritative source we can link to. Mike Smithson
Top 5 postal voting seats 2005 Postal ballots issued LAB-LD swing required 2010 Newcastle North 45.4% 8.5% Stevenage 45% Rushcliffe 39.9% Newcastle Central 36.7% 11.5% Newcastle East 35.4% 10.5% National average 12.1% …is this why Cleggie headed first for Newcastle? I was very struck on Friday with the oddness of Clegg’s travel schedule on the day after the Sky News debate in Bristol. On the face of it you would have thought that he’d have headed out to some of…
Or is it almost all over? To see more of Marf’s work check here.
Was this the weirdest moment of the campaign? I’ve now watched this several times and I still can’t answer my own question. Why has a complete news cycle for Labour been dominated by Gordon and the Elvis impersonator? What was the plan? What was the big idea? UPDATE – I’ve changed the video clip to the Channel 4 version – it’s even more strange. Majority betting NOM CON LAB OTH/LD Ladbrokes 4/6 11/8 16/1 20/1 Political Smarkets 57% 40% 5%…
YouGov Daily Poll – S. Times Apr 24 Apr 23 CONSERVATIVES 35% 34% LIB DEMS 28% 29% LABOUR 27% 29% BPIX/YG Mail on Sunday Apr 24 Apr 17 CONSERVATIVES 34% 31% LIB DEMS 30% 32% LABOUR 26% 28% MORI – News of the World Apr 23 Apr 19 CONSERVATIVES 36% 32% LIB DEMS 23% 32% LABOUR 30% 28% Is MORI an outlier? Overall it’s been a good polling night for the Tories with the party well established in the mid-30s…
ICM Sunday Telegraph Apr 23 Apr 18 CONSERVATIVES 35% 33% LIB DEMS 31% 30% LABOUR 26% 28% ComRes S. Mirror/IoS Apr 24 Apr 20 CONSERVATIVES 34% 35% LIB DEMS 29% 27% LABOUR 28% 25% But the Lib Dems progress with both So our first two polls for tomorrow’s Sunday papers are out and provide mixed messages for the reds and blues but good news for the yellows. For the key development is that the yellow bubble hasn’t burst and the…
Lots of hints starting to emerge about the polls for the Sunday papers. Kratz reported this on an earlier thread: “Labour are losing ground in ICM to both the Lib Dems and the Tories. The gap between Tories and LD is greater than in the previous ICM but the LD share is higher once again. Sorry for talking in riddles.” Looking back over previous comments from Kratz he/she has been pretty good with poll predictions – the reason why I…
Are you satisfied/dissatisfied with the way Brown is doing his job..?” (MORI Apr 18) Satisfied Dissatisfied All questioned 35% 59% Lib Dem voters only 29% 65% Are you satisfied/dissatisfied with the way Cameron is doing his job..?” (MORI Apr 18) Satisfied Dissatisfied All questioned 45% 42% Lib Dem voters only 32% 56% With the talk continuing over whether Clegg would prop up Brown or not I thought I’d dig out Lib Dem voters splits from the latest MORI poll. The…