Has Ed just pipped his brother?

Has Ed just pipped his brother?

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New YouGov poll points to Ed Miliband victory The Press Association is reporting the following: The Labour leadership contest remains too close to call with one poll suggesting Ed Miliband could snatch victory by a narrow margin. A survey of Labour members and trade unionists by YouGov for the Sunday Times showed bookies’ favourite David Miliband enjoying a narrow lead on first preferences. But the pollster calculated that once lower-ranking candidates were eliminated and their second choices redistributed the younger…

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Can the coalition deliver the post to the market?

Can the coalition deliver the post to the market?

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What chance of this government privatising Royal Mail? The privatisation of Royal Mail has been floated as a possible sale for a long time. The Conservative government under John Major seriously considered it. Peter Mandelson, under both Blair and Brown wanted to part-privatise it. In the end though, reform was minimal and it remains under government control. What chance of the government getting its way this time – and what cost? To answer that, the best thing to do is…

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Harry Hayfield on Norwich and Exeter?

Harry Hayfield on Norwich and Exeter?

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What do last night’s results say about current opinion? The background Imagine the scene: You’re the chief executive of a local council who has been told that unitary status has been granted. So you then make all the changes needed but then a general election is held, a new coalition government comes in and says “You know that unitary status you’ve been granted, we’re not that convinced!” That’s precisely what happened to Norwich and Exeter and last night both councils…

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So it looks like a re-run of 2008

So it looks like a re-run of 2008

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Can Ken get his old job back? The big news this morning in the 2012 London Mayoral race is that Boris Johnson has confirmed he will be seeking re-election for a second term. In an LBC interview he said he wanted to stay on beyond May 2012 because he had “more to do” improving the capital and overseeing the Olympics – “It is my intention and indeed I have written to seek the nomination to serve as Mayor for another…

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Tory daily poll lead remains stable despite hacking affair

Tory daily poll lead remains stable despite hacking affair

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Survey Date CON (%) LAB (%) LD (%) Con Lead             YouGov/Sun 09/09/10 42 37 14 5 YouGov/Sun 06/09/10 42 37 13 5 YouGov/Sunday Times 03/09/10 42 37 12 5 YouGov/Sun 02/09/10 42 37 12 5 YouGov/Sun 01/09/10 43 37 12 6 YouGov/Sun 31/08/10 43 38 11 5 YouGov/Sunday Times 27/08/10 41 37 13 4 YouGov/Sun 26/08/10 42 37 12 5 YouGov/Sun 25/08/10 42 37 12 5 YouGov/Sun 24/08/10 41 38 13 3 YouGov/Sun 23/08/10…

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How big a victory is this for Labour?

How big a victory is this for Labour?

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BBC News But will they be able to nail Coulson? The hacking debate ended with an agreement by MPs without a vote that the Standards and Privileges Committee should hold an inquiry into the matter. So at the very minimum the affair will drag on causing potential embarrassment to Downing Street. The real issue is whether this format will be provide means to “get” Coulson. When he appeared before MPs last year the former News of the World editor escaped…

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Could DaveM be the 2010 Hilary Benn?

Could DaveM be the 2010 Hilary Benn?

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How good is YouGov polling of Labour 56 days out? With David Miliband moving in the betting to being an 80% favourite perhaps we ought to reflect again on the ONLY poll of Labour and fee paying TU members who have been voting in this election. That survey closed 56 days before the end of voting. We’ve had nothing since and the Labour race of 2010 looks set to be the most under-polled leadership election of recent times. Even the…

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