The Tories move to 25/1 in Oldham East

The Tories move to 25/1 in Oldham East

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Oldham E & Saddleworth by-election betting LABOUR LIB DEMS TORIES Ladbrokes 1/4 4/1 14/1 William Hill 1/6 9/2 11/1 Victor Chandler 1/6 9/2 10/1 PaddyPower 2/11 10/3 12/1 Bet365 1/4 7/2 16/1 SkyBet 2/11 7/2 25/1 Betfair 0.18/1 5.4/1 31/1 Smarkets 1/4 75/20 22/1 Labour remain strong odds-on favourites With the postal vote packs in the Oldham East and Saddleworth by-election due to be mailed out in the next couple of days the latest by-election betting shows a weakening of…

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The hunting ban: A tale of two opinion polls

The hunting ban: A tale of two opinion polls

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Guardian Is it all about the questions you ask? With David Cameron said to be planning to defer the promised free vote on the anti-hunting legislation there’s news of two opinion polls from leading pollsters which the rival lobbying groups have issued to support their cases. Thanks to JonathanD on the previous thread for spotting this:- He wrote: “A survey by Ipsos-Mori for the League Against Cruel Sports released on Boxing Day showed that 76% of the British public think…

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Are petrol prices driving the poll ratings?

Are petrol prices driving the poll ratings?

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Whatgas average price of a litre of unleaded What’ll record levels and the VAT increase going to do? One trend that’s hardly been commented upon over the holiday period has been the rising cost of filling your car up. Over the past few days the price has been edging upwards and we are now at record levels. This can have a political impact. Labour’s low point in the polls in July 2008 coincided with the last high in the price…

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How seriously should we take the pact call?

How seriously should we take the pact call?

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Would it be too much for both parties to swallow? The main political story this Boxing Day morning is a report of comments by an unnamed Tory minister that the coalition could go into the next election with some form of electoral pact. According to the report by Patrick Hennessy and Jonathan Wynne-Jones, “the minister, often seen as one of a tight inner-circle of “Cameroons”, went further than any member of the government yet has in endorsing joint candidates.” Referring…

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The Fourth Annual StJohn Christmas Day Crossword

The Fourth Annual StJohn Christmas Day Crossword

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ACROSS  1.  Knowledgeable source that makes nothing clear (6)  5.  Greek island rejected tax on property (8)  9.  Debtor’s right to pursue gold hidden by Gordon Brown, the author (8) 10. See 2 down. 11. Spring sees the first of Earl Grey’s reforms (6) 12. Victor is a National hero (8) 14. Hannibal got confused with Tory politician (7,5) 17. English historian and ex Tory MP on the radio (7,5) 20. Pleased with newspaper backing Paulson split universal banks (8)  22….

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Why’s Labour talking down the Tories in Old & Sad?

Why’s Labour talking down the Tories in Old & Sad?

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Would the smarter strategy be to talk them up? An intriguing feature of Labour’s OES by-election campaign is that it is trying to confirm the ongoing media narrative that the Tories are not really trying. The party’s campaign manager, Iain Wright who got into parliament after winning the 2004 Hartlepool by-election, has been saying “I have seen no activity from the Tories whatsoever. I think they have left it too late.” On the face of it you’d think that the…

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What are poll junkies going to do every night?

What are poll junkies going to do every night?

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Client/pollster Date CON % LAB % LD % Murdoch’s News International /YouGov 22/12/10 40 42 9 Murdoch’s News International /YouGov 21/12/10 40 42 9 Murdoch’s News International /YouGov 20/12/10 40 43 8 Murdoch’s News International /YouGov 19/12/10 39 42 9 Murdoch’s News International /YouGov 16/12/10 41 41 9 Murdoch’s News International /YouGov 15/12/10 42 40 8 Murdoch’s News International /YouGov 14/12/10 39 42 9 Murdoch’s News International /YouGov 13/12/10 41 42 9 Murdoch’s News International /YouGov 10/12/10 40 42 9…

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