Will Labour EVER be able to shake off the blame?
How key is this to the next general election? If you think that there’s a glut of polling from Ipsos-MORI polling at the moment you are right. For as well as the regular MORI political monitor for Reuters there were also special pre-budget questions for the Economist – details of which are now available. The most significant findings politically related to that subject that we’ve touched on a fair bit on PB – who is to blame for the cuts?…
Will Osborne be able to turn things round with his budget?
Or can Balls build on his lead? Perhaps the most surprising finding from today’s MORI poll were the above ones on who would make “best chancellor” for the pollster found, and I think this is a first, that Balls is ahead. Certainly Labour’s man has been playing a big public role and has always seized opportunities to make news and get coverage. What a turnaround for the man whose apparent unelectability was a key issue in last autumn’s Labour leadership…
Ipsos-MORI has boosts for the blues and Dave
Poll/Publication Date CON % LAB % LD % OTH % Ipsos-MORI/Reuters 13/03/11 37 41 10 12 Ipsos-MORI/Reuters 20/02/11 33 43 13 11 Ipsos-MORI/Reuters 24/01/11 33 43 13 11 Ipsos-MORI/Reuters 12/12/10 38 39 11 12 Ipsos-MORI/Reuters 14/11/10 36 39 14 11 Ipsos-MORI/Reuters 17/10/10 39 36 14 11 Ipsos-MORI/Reuters 12/09/10 37 37 15 11 Ipsos-MORI/Reuters 25/07/10 40 38 14 8 Ipsos-MORI/Reuters 20/06/10 39 31 19 11 It’s CON 37: LAB 41: LD 10 The monthly telephone poll from Ipsos-MORI for Reuters is…
How’s the government comparing with its predecessors?
Ipsos-MORI The 32 year view from Mrs Thatcher onwards This is a chart that Ipsos-MORI produces on most months in order to put current government approval ratings figures in an historical context. It shows how the satisfied-dissatisfied numbers moved month by month in the first year after a general election. So at this stage, the chart is based on February’s polling, the coalition is doing substantially better than John Major’s 1992 government and a touch better compared with nine months…
YouGov Wales: An example of the “Mirror Magnifier”?
How 6.9% of the sample was worth 21%? Last Wednesday YouGov reported that Labour were on 48% for the Welsh Assembly elections on May 5th and were possibly heading for an overall majority They might well be but ftom the initial detail that the pollster released I was uncomfortable by the heavy weighting uplift that Labour had in the poll and the sizeable down-scale of the Tory vote. Now with the availability today of the full weightings data we can…
Why was Dave so unprepared on the NHS?
A victory for EdM this week As predicted here last night Ed Miliband used his PMQ opportunity this week to open the potential split within the coalition on the NHS changes and put Cameron on the spot over what’s being proposed. The PM’s lack of response to Miliband’s point about the NHS being opened up to EU competition law was very telling. It appeared that he was not up to speed on what’s in the government’s bill. The danger for…
Votes for Prisoners – will the Supreme Court let Dave off the hook?
Sean Fear investigates The ruling by the European Court of Human Rights (ECHR) that this country’s blanket ban on prisoners voting is unlawful has handed Cameron’s political opponents a handy stick with which to beat him. The Commons has made it absolutely plain that this ruling is anathema, yet at the same time, Kenneth Clarke, and the Liberal Democrats, are adamant that the ruling must be complied with. Right wing newspapers are arguing that Britain should withdraw from the European…