What does Patten’s appointment say about the BBC’s future?

What does Patten’s appointment say about the BBC’s future?

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Is it a holding role or a prelude to reform? The likely appointment of former Conservative Party Chairman, Governor of Hong Kong and EU Commissioner, Chris Patten, to be the next chairman of the BBC Trust is likely to be a controversial one. It’s not the first time that the senior board member has been an active politician (the very first chairman of the board of governors had only recently been a government chief whip when appointed), but certainly renews…

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YouGov reports first lead for YES for six months

YouGov reports first lead for YES for six months

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Latest AV referendum polls Date YES % NO % Question wording YouGov/Sun No2AV 17/02/11 34 30 Bespoke wording – which might have been changed for this latest poll (see updates below) Populus/Times 18/02/11 41 29 Actual wording on the ballot Angus Reid/ 16/02/11 37 (nc) 21 (+1) Actual wording on the ballot ComRes/Indy on Sunday 10/02/11 36 (+4) 30 (nc) Actual wording on the ballot ICM/Guardian 19/12/10 44 38 Actual wording on the ballot Details of the latest YouGov poll…

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And now Roger on the Oscars – this year decided by AV

And now Roger on the Oscars – this year decided by AV

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(Every year on PB Roger gives us his Oscar predictions and betting advice. Those who who’ve followed his analysis have generally come out as winners – let’s hope it’s the same this year – MS) Where are the awards going to go? A great year for British films which I hope can withstand the philistinism of this Tory government. Stjohn asked if I could suggest value bets so where two films are close I’ll suggest he takes a punt on…

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New Populus poll has 12 point lead for YES

New Populus poll has 12 point lead for YES

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Latest AV referendum polls Date YES % NO % Question wording Populus/Times 18/02/11 41 29 Actual wording on the ballot Angus Reid/ 16/02/11 37 (nc) 21 (+1) Actual wording on the ballot ComRes/Indy on Sunday 10/02/11 36 (+4) 30 (nc) Actual wording on the ballot YouGov/Sun 07/02/11 38 (+6) 39 (-2) Bespoke wording – referring to the fact that this is a proposal from the Conservative-Lib Dem coalition ICM/Guardian 19/12/10 44 38 Actual wording on the ballot But a different…

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Will the grey vote save the day for NO?

Will the grey vote save the day for NO?

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The referendum: What are the polls telling us? Looking at the the detailed data from recent AV polls there are two clear trends – the older age groups (55+) are much less likely to support change and Labour voters from the general election are the most undecided. Thursday’s survey for Angus Reid had YES leading with a 37-22 point split. Yet amongst the 55+ group the lead was down to just one point with YES on 34 and NO on…

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Richard Nabavi asks: Will Fine Gael go it alone?

Richard Nabavi asks: Will Fine Gael go it alone?

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The Irish Election – Part 2 If Fianna Fáil were hoping for a boost in the polls as the election campaign builds up under their new leader Micheál Martin, they will have been disappointed by the latest polls. Last weekend’s RedC poll put the party’s first-preference support even lower than the previous week’s: Fianna Fáil 15% (-2) Fine Gael 38% (+3) Labour 20% (-2) Green 3% (+1) Sinn Féin 10% (-3) Other 14% (+3). A Millward-Brown poll published Tuesday was…

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Will ICM win the Scottish polling race…again?

Will ICM win the Scottish polling race…again?

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2007 Scottish Election: Constituency Date LAB % SNP % CON % LD % TOTAL ERROR Actual Results 03/05/07 32.2 32.9 16.6 16.2   YouGov 02/05/07 31 (-1.2) 37 (+4.1) 13 (-3.6) 14 (2.2) 11.1 ICM 30/04/07 32 (-0.2) 34 (+1.1) 13 (-3.6) 16 (-0.2) 4.9 Populus 30/04/07 29 (-3.2) 33 (+0.1) 13 (-3.6) 15 (-1.2) 8.1

Has YouGov failed to keep up with the Mirror’s decline?

Has YouGov failed to keep up with the Mirror’s decline?

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Newspaper segments January 2011 segment circulation YouGov weighting (Mirror/Record=1) Circulation based weighting (Mirror/Record=1) YouGov weighting / Circulation based weighting Mail + Express 2,776,443 0.97 1.85 0.52 Daily Mirror/Daily Record 1,500,969 1 1 1 Sun+Star 3,736,133 1.38 2.49 0.55 Guardian+Independent+I 597,815 0.20 0.40 0.49 FT+Times+Telegraph 1,491,501 0.54 0.99 0.55 Should the pollster look urgently at its newspaper weightings A couple of weeks ago the former head pollster at ICM, Nick Sparrow, highlighted in his monthly PB column the reliance that pollsters…

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