Can the oldies bring a smile to the NO campaigners’ faces?

Can the oldies bring a smile to the NO campaigners’ faces?

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Is the grey vote going to win it for NO? Although we’ve been getting conflicting messages on the AV referendum there’s one big trend that’s seen in all the surveys where the actual question that’s on the ballot will be put – the older you are the least likely it is that you want change. I’ve just extracted the split, repercentaged to show just decided voters, of the oldest age group from all the latest polls. Normally you shouldn’t read…

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The drama in Japan goes on…

The drama in Japan goes on…

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BBC news With the dramatic story following Japan’s earthquake continuing to unfold this has so many implications that it is hard to focus on anything else. There is nothing I can add in a thread header – but this is what so many of us want to talk about. So please use this thread to discuss what’s happening and the implications – and to post links about any new developments. Mike Smithson

Is the band of the “betrayed ones” growing?

Is the band of the “betrayed ones” growing?

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ComRes finds more 2010 LD voters than LAB ones Someone, no doubt, will correct me if I’m wrong but I believe that this weekend’s ComRes poll for the Indy on Sunday represents something of a first – when respondents were asked how they voted in the general election last May more said they had opted for the Lib Dems than Labour. Given, as we all know, the final GB shares were CON 37%: LAB 29.75: LD 23.6% then there’s either…

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Are the NHS reforms a bridge too far?

Are the NHS reforms a bridge too far?

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Jonathan’s Sunday Slot Is the Coalition doing too much to reform the NHS? Last May it embarked on reform at a frenetic pace. No area of government has been left untouched. Arguably its agenda is more ambitious than any government since 1945. But does trying to do everything at once incur serious risks? Cracks are already showing. Ministers look tired. Can Cameron hold things together and will his NHS reforms prove a bridge too far? The coalition programme is already…

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Will the Tories now have to pull back over the Lansley plan?

Will the Tories now have to pull back over the Lansley plan?

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Could the future of the coalition be on the line? My strong sense from all that has come out in the past 24 hours from the Lib Dem conference in Sheffield is that the partnership between the blues and the yellows is about to face its biggest test over the Andrew Lansley NHS changes. From the amendments that the Lib Dem leadership had to accept yesterday the party’s contingent of MPs is going to find it almost impossible to go…

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NO 4pc ahead with ComRes but 8pc behind with YouGov

NO 4pc ahead with ComRes but 8pc behind with YouGov

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Latest AV referendum polls using the question that’s on the ballot Date YES (FOR AV) % NO (FOR FPTP) % Methodology note YouGov/SkyNews 09/03/11 54 (+2) 46 (-2) Repercentaged by PB to show only decided voters. Comparisons are with last similar poll for NO2AV on March 2. No turnout weighting. Politically weighted via party ID and newspaper type. ComRes/Indy on Sunday 09/03/11 48 (-9) 52 (+9) Repercentaged by PB to show only decided voters. Online with Westminster turnout filter. No…

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Is Jim Murphy for leader worth a punt at 33-1?

Is Jim Murphy for leader worth a punt at 33-1?

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Could he be the safe pair of hands to replace EdM? After a winning bet at 33/1 that Ed Miliband would replace Gordon Brown I’ve placed a wager at the same same price this afternoon at Ladbrokes that Jim Murphy will be the next Labour leader. To me he is becoming the most impressive member of Labour’s front-bench team and his speech to Progress today is being well received on the LabourList website. His vision for the party combined with…

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