After the announcement of Christie not joining the GOP nomination race, and ahead of Cameron’s speech tomorrow, there’s also been a poll from Opinium: Lab 40 (+4) Con 33 (-) LD 9 (-) Others 18 (+4) Thanks again to Marf for the cartoon and to all the contributors helping to keep PB going while Mike is in AndalucÃa. Double Carpet www.electiongame.co.uk @electiongame
Washington Post What will be the impact of this on the GOP race?
While Mike Smithson is on holiday there’ll be fewer thread headers – but PB’s “Big Conversation” will continue. Welcome to this afternoon’s open thread.
CON/Dave take 6% lead in YouGov’s forced choice question One polling finding which doesn’t usually attract much attention is the fortnightly forced choice question which is put by YouGov. Here respondents are asked: “If you had to choose, which would you prefer to see after the next election, a Conservative government led by David Cameron or a Labour government led by Ed Miliband?” You’d expect there to be close correlation between responses here and voting intention. Not always so. In…
See you again in two and a half weeks My wife, Jacky, and I are off on our main holiday of the year tomorrow travelling the classy way to Spain on the Hotel Train. We are both now retired and plan to travel a lot more while we are still fit and while it’s still possible to buy travel health insurance at non-exorbitant prices. Unlike my previous holidays we are not planing to post the same number of threads. There…
Will Osborne’s speech have steadied any nerves? The biggest challenge for the blues in Manchester this week is getting the tone right. Exactly two years ago at the same venue, eight months before the election, the message from Osborne and Cameron was so laden with gloom and doom that many pundits suggest that it was where they started to lose a majority. In many ways the message from Osborne in his big speech today was even more bleak than then…
Do the blues have a long-term problem? There is currently a great deal of speculation that the Conservatives are failing to appeal to women voters and the party will suffer electorally because of this. Tories are right to be worried about the gender gap, but not necessarily about what has happened since the last general election. At the general election, the Conservatives enjoyed a 10 point lead over Labour among men (38% to 28%), but only a 5 point lead…
Thanks once again to Marf for the idea of PB NightHawks and for her excellent spoof of the Hopper painting.