Make your prediction in this PB “poll” Who’ll win the 2012 White House Race? Barack Obama Mitt Romney Another Democratic party candidate Another Republican party candidate None of the above Mike Smithson is on holiday.
HenryG looks at the betting for the leadership contest Some of my best political bets have been with the Conservatives. Duncan Smith (33/1) and Cameron (11/1) have both come up trumps for me in the past. Now that we know the names of qualifying candidates for the Scottish Conservative leader and have seen them in action at conference there is one name that leaps out in value. Jackson Carlaw looks tidily placed to mop up from his more fancied opponents’…
As you’ll have seen, Sarah Palin has finally confirmed that she won’t be running, and that must mean that the field is finally set (surely no entry from Rudy?!). There will be a PB poll tomorrow afternoon on the 2012 White House race. With Nevada holding its caucus on 14th January, New Hampshire (by state law a week before any “similar election”) looks set for 3rd January if it sticks to the traditional Tuesday – and that would mean the…
Surely the party of the Two Eds should be miles ahead? Something curious is happening in British politics. The economy is weak, unemployment is running at 2.5m, and significant, and unpopular, cuts in public spending are being pushed through. In such a situation, one would expect the Opposition to have opened up a big lead in opinion polls, and to make sweeping gains in local elections. In the run up to the last election, plenty of commentators expected the new…
Henry G runs the rule over a possible Labour frontbench shake-up With rumours of an imminent Labour Shadow Cabinet reshuffle it’s worth examining the opportunities and risks for Labour. Ed Miliband is in a stronger position to dispense patronage than previous Labour leaders in Opposition now he has the ability to appoint who he wishes from the full ranks of the Parliamentary Labour Party. With this freedom comes added risks and the likelihood of net disappointment for many MPs. Reshuffles…
Following a “Conservative day” here on PB, tomorrow we have a “Labour day”. HenryG will kick off with a look at a possible Shadow Cabinet reshuffle, followed by Sean Fear examining Labour’s polling position. Double Carpet www.electiongame.co.uk Twitter @electiongame
With Mike Smithson on holiday there are fewer thread headers – but PB’s “Big Conversation” continues. Welcome to this afternoon’s open thread.
Mark Gill looks at the PM’s ratings ahead of today’s speech Prime minister David Cameron goes to Manchester as the second most popular of the last five prime ministers at the stage of their second party conferences. In Ipsos MORI’s September 2011 survey Camerons’s approval ratings were 39% satisfied and 52% dissatisfied, giving a net score of -13. This compares favourably against the -45 net approval for Brown (in Sept 2008), -27 for Major (in Sept 1992) and -23 for…