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Is this Cameron/Osborne’s worst crisis yet? The overnight YouGov poll reported for the second day running a 10 point LAB lead which followed the ComRes telephone survey on Monday night which also had a lead of that size. The YouGov shares were: CON 34%: LAB 44%: LD 10% Govt approval: Approve 25% Disapprove 61% This comes just eight days after Osborne’s budget with the lower of tax rates for the super–rich juxtaposed with a move, not properly explained, to reduce…

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A LAB Councillor in N Yorks says his “real mother” is a 9ft green alien with eight fingers. bit.ly/H1tfdg — Mike Smithson (@MikeSmithsonOGH) March 28, 2012 @MikeSmithsonOGH

Should the PM have been more guarded? The comments by David Cameron on motorists filling their tanks up have been sharply criticised by the petrol retailers because, they say, it is encouraging panic buying. Are they right or was the PM correct in advising people to take sensible precautions? As we saw in September 2000 a panic can soon be set off and that of itself can add to the shortages shortages. @MikeSmithsonOGH

Could he give Miliband/Labour a bloody nose? When the Bradford West by-election was called at the start of the month it looked a pretty standard LAB hold on an increased majority but with a reduced turnout. The voting at the general election was: LAB 45.3%: CON 31.15: LD 11.7% Then came news that George Galloway was entering the race in an attempt to get back into parliament. He opened in the betting at 33/1 but now has tightened to 10/1….

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Tories trying to downplay fall-out from Cruddas. But donors are putting their chequebooks away; the “hedgehog approach”, as one put it — Beth Rigby (@BethRigby) March 27, 2012 The FT’s Beth Rigby makes an interesting point and it would only be natural, I suppose, if the affair caused some of the donors to think twice about making a gift to the blue team. Did the person they were speaking to have the authority to make promises? In any case giving…

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What has “dinner-gate” done to CON majority hopes? There is a theory shared by a number of political scientists that scandals like the current one over Number 10 dinners for Tory donors are much more damaging in the eyes of voters than things like the economy. The Major government came to an end in May 1997 because it looked tired and, more importantly, sleazy. One scandal after another had undermined the party in the eyes of the public. They couldn’t…

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UPDATED to deal with error But Populus is showing a different picture There’s a new ComRes telephone poll just out for tomorrow’s Independent which has Labour in its best position since before the 2005 general election. The shares, seen in the graphic above, show a widening of the Labour lead from three to ten points. In the interviews conducted on Saturday, before the cash-for-access revelations emerged, Labour enjoyed a lead of just 4%. It was 39/35/11. The sensational part is…

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