Will the Hunting of the Hunt succeed?

Will the Hunting of the Hunt succeed?

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Next cabinet exit betting Odds Jeremy Hunt evens Andrew Lansley 8/1 Baroness Warsi 10/1 Cheryl Gillan 10/1 Vince Cable 10/1 Ken Clarke 10/1 Caroline Spelman 12/1 Theresa May 12/1 William Hague 16/1 Michael Moore 16/1 Ed Davey 20/1 Owen Paterson 20/1 Iain Duncan Smith 20/1 Michael Gove 20/1 David Cameron 25/1 Andrew Mitchell 33/1 Lord Strathclyde 33/1 Justine Greening 40/1 George Osborne 40/1 Danny Alexander 40/1 Eric Pickles 40/1 Nick Clegg 50/1 Philip Hammond 50/1 The Culture sec now evens…

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The PMQs thread

The PMQs thread

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The “Hunt going today” odds tightens even further. Now 4/7.Was 13/8 an hour ago. See PaddyPower bit.ly/I8PkIO — Mike Smithson (@MikeSmithsonOGH) April 25, 2012 Ed M plays class warrior: ‘The complacent arrogant posh boys don’t get it’ #PMQs — Sunday Times News (@ST_Newsroom) April 25, 2012 Nick Clegg shakes his head when Cameron says Hunt has his full support — Mike Smithson (@MikeSmithsonOGH) April 25, 2012 EdM gets out the s-word Sleaze. Clear subliminal ref to 1990s. Cam redder than…

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How’s this all going to play out in Britain’s “mid-terms”?

How’s this all going to play out in Britain’s “mid-terms”?

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Will it be harder getting Tory voters to the polls? As I mentioned on the last thread – yesterday I took the day off for my wife’s graduation and a family gathering and in what has become almost a PB tradition all hell let loose with a minister finding himself in deep water. It was the same with the Liam Fox explosion last autumn. Today the headlines are awful for the Tories and with PMQs and Rupert going before Leveson…

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Is Hunt about to become Dave’s human shield?

Is Hunt about to become Dave’s human shield?

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@nicholaswatt @dansabbagh @paulwaugh This is a nice email from #Leveson evidence twitter.com/JetBlackPope/s… — Dan (@JetBlackPope) April 24, 2012 What’ll be the fall-out from today’s revelations? We’ve been in London all day for my wife, Jacky’s, graduation (she’s got an MSc from Birkbeck) and it was only on the train home that I first saw what could be devastating news in relation to culture secretary, Jeremy Hunt. The Telegraph’s Iain Martin has got this right – Cameron will use Hunt as…

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The May 3rd local elections – your predictions

The May 3rd local elections – your predictions

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Please take part in the big PB survey Which if these possible outcomes do you think will happen on May 3rd? (Tick all that apply) LAB will make 700 plus gains LAB will make 500-700 gains LAB will make fewer than 500 gains The LDs will have net gains against the Tories The LDs will NOT have net gains against the Tories The LDs will have fewer than 300 net losses The LDs will NOT have fewer than 300 net…

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Suddenly the bookies have woken up to May 3rd

Suddenly the bookies have woken up to May 3rd

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How many seats will Labour gain? With just nine days to go before what are being described as the “Britain’s mid-terms” there’s a whole raft of new markets being set up by the bookies. Until now virtually the only focus has been on London. Now many other options are available including the second biggest mayoral election – the choice of the first elected mayor of Liverpool from William Hill. Labour is the 1/10 favourite but you might have local knowledge….

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LAB move to biggest ICM lead since the general election

LAB move to biggest ICM lead since the general election

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CON 33 (-4) LAB 41 (+3) LD 15 (+2) UKIP 3% (-1) For the first time the firm has them in the 40s The April ICM poll for the Guardian is just out and has LAB in its best position with the pollster since the general election. The changes above are with the last ICM poll to be published not the last one in the Guardian which was a bit earlier. more follows @MikeSmithsonOGH

Could Boris be out of a job next week?

Could Boris be out of a job next week?

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Boris 43%(-2) Ken 41%(+1) Paddick 8%(+1) Benita 3%(+1), UKIP-Webb 3% (nc) Jones GRN 2%(nc) BNP (1%) YouGov London: Ken now within just 2% With just ten days to go there’s a new YouGov London poll just out which has the Boris-Ken gap down sharply to just 2%. This is very much in line with the increase in Labour’s lead in the Westminster headline voting intentions in the capital. Clearly this is going to be very close and everything depends on…

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