Survation-Mirror locals poll points to huge LAB gains on Thursday

Survation-Mirror locals poll points to huge LAB gains on Thursday

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Could the reds win more than the initial 700 seat projection? There’s a new Survation poll out in the Daily Mirror which has both Westminster and local election voting intention for this Thursday. The national numbers are CON 30% nc/LAB 37%+2/LD 13%+2/UKIP 9%-1 with comparisons on the firm’s poll a fortnight ago for the Mail on Sunday. For the locals Survation has with comparisons on the 2008 national equivalent votes shares when most of these sears were last fought CON…

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Marf on the limitations in the power of Rupert

Marf on the limitations in the power of Rupert

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If you would like to purchase one of Marf’s prints, please contact her at marfcartoons@btinternet.com From tomorrow’s papers Guardian: Bin Laden’s links to Taliban revealed – also P&O cruise staff ‘paid 75p an hour’ #tomorrowspaperstoday twitter.com/hendopolis/sta… — Neil Henderson (@hendopolis) April 29, 2012 Express front: Flood chaos to sat all week #tomorrowspaperstoday twitter.com/hendopolis/sta… — Neil Henderson (@hendopolis) April 29, 2012 FT: Cameron faces critical test #tomorrowspaperstoday twitter.com/hendopolis/sta… — Neil Henderson (@hendopolis) April 29, 2012 Eurozone crisis has a long way…

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Betfair punters make Boris an 82.6 percent shot

Betfair punters make Boris an 82.6 percent shot

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Betfair Politics Don’t ignore YouGov’s great record in Mayoral elections With the last two Mayoral polls showing first preference leads of 9% and 11.2% for Boris it’s hardly surprising that on this final weekend the money has been going on the incumbent. I’m being a tad more cautious. YouGov’s final polls in both 2004 and 2008 got it correct to within 1% and there should be a new survey out tomorrow. Remember that four years ago the other pollsters had…

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Dave’s dramatic ratings collapse matched only by Gordon

Dave’s dramatic ratings collapse matched only by Gordon

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Is this not just a setback but a long-term nightmare? The weekly YouGov leadership ratings for David Cameron are out and add further to trend we’ve seen since the budget. He’s gone from a neutral 46% Well 47% Badly at the end of January to 32% Well 63% Badly this morning. Writing in the Sunday Times YouGov’s Peter Kellner observes that “Only Gordon Brown can match such a collapse in popularity, when he scrapped plans to hold a snap election…

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The Marf take for the overnight thread

The Marf take for the overnight thread

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What are the Sunday going to report? This is the Observer front page. The Indy on Sunday look pretty bad for Hunt. See here – “Hunt on the brink as he is accused of misleading Parliament” The Mail on Sunday steers clear of Hunt on its front page. The Telegraph. @MikeSmithsonOGH

Will Number 10’s delaying tactics work with Hunt?

Will Number 10’s delaying tactics work with Hunt?

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Ladbrokes now make Jeremy Hunt the 4/5 odds on favourite to be next cabinet exit. bit.ly/c5gpH6 — Mike Smithson (@MikeSmithsonOGH) April 28, 2012 Could there be surprises in the Sunday papers? So far, at least, the Cameron tactic of say they must wait for Leveson. not expected for some weeks, has managed to hold in the Jeremy Hunt affair. The problem Dave’s got is that Leveson won’t be ruling on the affair – that’s for the PM. There’s also the…

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Is Greece about to blow the Eurocrisis open again?

Is Greece about to blow the Eurocrisis open again?

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What will the elections do to the bailout settlement? It’s unsurprising that with the Republican primaries, the French presidential election, the London mayorality and local elections in Britain all taking place within April or early May, there’s not been much coverage given to another legislative election taking place next week. Perhaps we should. Elections in that Greece have rarely carried as much import to the rest of the world as they do now. There are two simple reasons for this,…

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Does Boris hanker after Dave’s job?

Does Boris hanker after Dave’s job?

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What’ll a victory next week do to his leadership ambitions? If both the national and London polls are reflected in next week’s London and national elections then Boris Johnson will be one of the few prominent Tories with something to smile about a week today. On a night that’s likely to see huge Tory losses, including possibly to their coalition partners the LDs, Johnson will have held on completely against the mid-term national trend. The message from City Hall will…

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