Are the Tories trailing public opinion on gay marriage?

Are the Tories trailing public opinion on gay marriage?

Should the party ignore the activist base? The subject of gay marriage has come to the fore in both the US and in the UK, In the former last week electors in North Carolina voted to amend the state constitution to ban it. A day later Barack Obama said that he was in favour. Here in the UK it’s been a issue particularly within the Tory party and this morning Philip Hammond was on the Marr show expressing his reservations….

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Miliband takes a 6pc net lead in YouGov’s leader ratings

Miliband takes a 6pc net lead in YouGov’s leader ratings

Ed Miliband overtakes Cameron in YouGov’s leader ratings. He’s on 32% WELL/55% BADLY to Cameron’s 32%/61%. So Ed’s net is -23% to Dave’s -29 — Mike Smithson (@MikeSmithsonOGH) May 12, 2012 LATEST YouGov voting – 31/43/10 with UKIP on 8. Labour maintaining a solid double digit lead.. The LDs up from their low of 7% on Thu to 10 — Mike Smithson (@MikeSmithsonOGH) May 12, 2012 EdM’s net YouGov leader ratings lead of 6% over Dave his best ever position…

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Spain backed to quit the Eurozone

Spain backed to quit the Eurozone

Will the Euro still exist at the end of 2015? William Hill have reopened their market on which will be the first country to quit the Eurozone – and although Greece remain hot favourites at 1/4, Spain have been slashed from 12/1 to 7/1 third favourite. ‘We suspended the market earlier in the week when punters only wanted to back Greece but with the financial crisis escalating in Spain and the possibility of another Greek election we have decided to…

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Will Hunt have to go?

Will Hunt have to go?

Is he set to become the 4th cabinet casualty? Rebekah Brooks’ testimony to the Leveson enquiry didn’t produce a smoking gun but will not have been at all comfortable listening for Jeremy Hunt. In particular, the e-mail from Hunt’s advisor looks at best like a private office out of control and gives the suggestion of indirect but improper ministerial contact with News International. However, it is just suggestion rather than established fact and as such we’re into the good old…

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Welcome again to the PB NightHawks cafe

Welcome again to the PB NightHawks cafe

Holiday arrangements starting a week on Monday I’ve going to be away Andalucia for two and half weeks and won’t be taking my lap-top though I will still have my tablet and phone. Unlike previous holidays there will be no stand-in editor. We have found that it is just too big a task for someone who also has to work. The site will still operate driven mostly by continuation threads and things that have been set up in advance. @MikeSmithsonOGH…

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Rebekah Brooks before Leveson: Some reactions LOL

Rebekah Brooks before Leveson: Some reactions LOL

We now make it 5/6 that David Cameron says ‘lol’ at least once during PMQs this year #LOLgate #camerontexts — Ladbrokes (@LadbrokesNews) May 11, 2012 You wait till the Prime Minister finds out what MILF means…. — Philip Cowley (@philipjcowley) May 11, 2012 The Moggster’s verdict re LOL. Jacob Rees-Mogg: “I would have thought he’d sign off yours sincerely, but never mind.” bit.ly/JERI9o — Paul Waugh (@paulwaugh) May 11, 2012 #leveson Not too charmed by RB’s feisty, winning ways, we…

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Happy birthday to me and the coalition

Happy birthday to me and the coalition

Has it all been a terrible mistake? Today’s my 66th birthday and, as no doubt it will be hard to avoid today, the second anniversary of that Tuesday in May 2010 when Gordon Brown, Sarah and his two children left Number 10 for the last time as PM. It is also the second anniversary of Dave as prime minister and, of course, the creation of what all seemed so positive then, the coalition. Looking back to those heady days I…

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Betfair punters still make Romney just a 33 percent shot

Betfair punters still make Romney just a 33 percent shot

Betfair Politics Is Romney’s price almost bound to tighten? There’s a new Gallup poll out that gives the presumptive Republican nominee, Mitt Romney, a nine point lead on the economy. The latest daily tracker poll from the firm has Romney on 47% to Obama’s 44%. In many key state races the margins are very tight yet, overall, punters on Betfair continue to put their money on the incumbent. The chart above shows the trend and there’s been almost no real…

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