Have the blues been pinning too much on geeky EdM?

Have the blues been pinning too much on geeky EdM?

Comments 0 Comment

Is the Labour leader now looking like a winner? Earlier in the week the Speccie’s Fraser Nelson yesterday summed up neatly the Tory view of the next general election:- “Much of the Cameroon’s re-election hopes are pinned on the idea that their boss will trounce the geeky Ed Miliband. Nowadays, the argument goes, these ex-special advisers who have no charisma and alarming leftist policies just don’t win modern elections.” That view might have had some merit before George Osborne’s budget…

Read More Read More

Marf on the pressures piling on to Dave

Marf on the pressures piling on to Dave

Comments 0 Comment

This is how Marf describes her drawing:- In the cartoon, Cameron’s been struggling to rewrite the Queen’s Speech all night …. With Europe, Greece and France swinging to left and hovering in a sinister way, and Boris and Nick Clegg (the cat wearing the yellow tie) staring, taunting. Honestly it couldn’t be the easiest time for Cameron. I have him dressed as an eighteenth-century gentleman because his Bullingdon dress still evokes so much about his character and outlook – hard…

Read More Read More

What are the chances of an MP defection to UKIP?

What are the chances of an MP defection to UKIP?

Comments 0 Comment

Is 6/4 a good value bet? Ladbrokes has a bet at 6/4 that an MP will defect to UKIP before the general election. It looks like a reasonable punt. The problem for potential MP defectors is that UKIP has never even come within a whisker of winning a Westminster seat and the chances of holding on at a general election must be low. So a potential defector would have to factor in losing both their job and parliamentary salary. As…

Read More Read More

The return of the PB NightHawks Cafe

The return of the PB NightHawks Cafe

Comments 0 Comment

Welcome to the best overnight political conversation on the net. With the elections we’ve not been here for a week or so – but NightHawks makes a return tonight, Have a good evening. @MikeSmithsonOGH Recent Threads

Gary Gibbon says a boundary changes/Lords reform pact is being discussed

Gary Gibbon says a boundary changes/Lords reform pact is being discussed

Comments 0 Comment

The boundary changes could be postponed in exchange for the LDs holding back on Lord reform. Winner=Ed Miliband bit.ly/IS9SWc — Mike Smithson (@MikeSmithsonOGH) May 8, 2012 A delay Lords reform/boundary changes pact means that LAB can win overall majority with just 3% lead. CON needs 11% lead. — Mike Smithson (@MikeSmithsonOGH) May 8, 2012 A delay Lords reform/boundary changes pact means that Nadine’s seat is safe for next time. — Mike Smithson (@MikeSmithsonOGH) May 8, 2012 See Gary Gibbon’s post…

Read More Read More

Dave & Nick go to Essex to renew their marriage vows….

Dave & Nick go to Essex to renew their marriage vows….

Comments 0 Comment

Is it the polling that binds them together? This afternoon’s political story is the joint event in Essex by Dave and Nick plan to “re-launch” the coalition. The event comes just three days before the second anniversary of the creation of the pact. The fact that both feel the need to “re-launch” is a sign surely that things are not going well. This unlikely marriage is going through a stormy patch. Both parties got totally smashed in Thursday local elections…

Read More Read More

What’s Ron Paul going to do with his delegate harvest?

What’s Ron Paul going to do with his delegate harvest?

Comments 0 Comment

.. Has he now the numbers to threaten Mitt? Three months I put the maximum that Ladbrokes would allow me on Rand Paul, son of Ron, to be the Republican V-P nominee. The odds then were a tasty 50/1. Overnight I bet again on Rand with Betfair at a nice 44/1. I decided to risk more money because of some remarkable moves in the Republican nomination race by the enthusiastic and hugely well organised band of Ron Paul supporters For…

Read More Read More

The bonus for the blues from LAB’s soaring poll ratings

The bonus for the blues from LAB’s soaring poll ratings

Comments 0 Comment

Election outcome < New boundaries Old boundaries LAB MAJORITY LAB LEAD 4.3% LAB LEAD 3% LAB MOST SEATS CON LEAD below 2.2% CON LEAD below 4% CON MOST SEATS CON LEAD above 2.2% CON LEAD 4% CON MAJORITY CON LEAD above 7.4% CON LEAD 11% The LDs are MORE likely to vote for the boundary changes One massive issue festering in the background at Westminster is the change to the boundaries which according to the projections from YouGov’s Anthony Wells...

Read More Read More