What if the blues conclude that Dave is a loser?

What if the blues conclude that Dave is a loser?

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Would Phillip Hammond be best placed to become leader&PM? These have been a bloody few weeks for David Cameron. One problem seems to have piled on another and his personal poll ratings and those of his party have plummeted. What if the narrative continues and there seem few signs of improvement? What if Labour’s double digit poll leads continue and the idea takes hold that the dream of a Tory majority simply isn’t going to happen and that the most…

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It’s PB NightHawks time after a very busy day

It’s PB NightHawks time after a very busy day

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What a day for political news This has been one of those days. After last night’s YouGov poll with its record lead we then had the charges in the News International case only to be followed an hour or so later by one of the four main telephone polls – Ipsos-MORI. Then there was the election to the Conservatives 1922 committee in which the old guard appears to have seen off the young usurpers. On top of that EdM has…

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Cameron’s MORI ratings now worse than Gordon Brown’s

Cameron’s MORI ratings now worse than Gordon Brown’s

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Both the PM and Nick Clegg see 8 points drops Another poll, MORI, has EdM beating DC in leader ratings.Ed’s net rating is -16/Dave’s is -28/Clegg’s is -39 bit.ly/JXzzkh — Mike Smithson (@MikeSmithsonOGH) May 15, 2012 Clegg also sees a big drop in his MORI ratings down from -31 in April to -39 now.bit.ly/JXzzkh — Mike Smithson (@MikeSmithsonOGH) May 15, 2012 Cameron’s -28% MORI rating is worse than Gordon Brown’s was in any survey from the pollster in the 5…

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Brooks and five others charged

Brooks and five others charged

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Important legal notice We are now entering a different phase legally and and there should be no speculation, smears or innuendos regarding these developments. Any posts on this subject matter needs to come from a reputable source, with a link. Any poster disregarding this will have their post removed and will be banned from posting. CHARGE 1 – CONSPIRACY TO PERVERT THE COURSE OF JUSTICE Rebekah Brooks between 6th July and 19th July 2011 conspired with Charles Brooks, Cheryl Carter,…

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As we await the news from the Crown Prosecution Service….

As we await the news from the Crown Prosecution Service….

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…YouGov points to a 1997-scale LABour landlside Update – Labour lead on 14: Latest YouGov/The Sun results 14th May CON 31%, LAB 45%, LD 7%, (UKIP 8%); APP -42 y-g.co/JPOlcP — YouGov (@YouGov) May 14, 2012 The YouGov LAB 45% CON 31% split is slightly better for Labour than in Tony Blair’s 1997 landslide when the voting wasLAB 44.4% CON 31.4% — Mike Smithson (@MikeSmithsonOGH) May 15, 2012 Tonight’s YouGov lead for Labour of 14% is the highestrecorded by the…

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Start the week in the PB NightHawks cafe

Start the week in the PB NightHawks cafe

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Join the web’s best political conversation Welcome once again to our overnight thread in the PB NightHawks cafe. According to the site stats there are many more people who lurk and follow the threads compared with those who actually post. Please don’t be inhibited particularly here in the “cafe” and post tonight. Have a good evening. @MikeSmithsonOGH

Kellner says Tory victory the likeliest outcome

Kellner says Tory victory the likeliest outcome

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Peter Kellner says “I still think a Conservative victory is the likeliest outcome in 2015…” bit.ly/JuGAv2 — Mike Smithson (@MikeSmithsonOGH) May 14, 2012 Interesting article on the latest ratings changes for Ed Miliband and David Cameron on the YouGov site by Peter Kellner. Looking back he notes:- “…In the months leading up to the 1970 election, Wilson’s ratings improved. By election day he was much better liked than Heath. Yet Heath won: Wilson’s mid-term travails had been too profound, and…

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Caroline quits the leadership to help the Greens cash in

Caroline quits the leadership to help the Greens cash in

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Will they capitalise most on the Lib Dem collapse? While UKIP continues to get most attention in the “others” category the organisation in that segment that has been making real electoral progress is Caroline Lucas’s Green Party. Unlike the disorganised purples who failed even to get the UKIP party name onto the ballot papers in London the Greens had a very good May 3rd. Their net councillor total went up by 11 and of course, their candidate in the London…

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