Had George just seen his negative ConHome ratings?

Had George just seen his negative ConHome ratings?

Comments 0 Comment

Is the leadership slipping away from his grasp? For me the most striking feature of today PMQs was the look on Osborne’s face as he sat next to David Cameron. I wonder whether he’d seen the latest “poll” on ConservativeHome which for the first time has the chancellor showing a negative rating. He’s on -2 joining a select group of Tory cabinet ministers who get a minus number when percentage of those saying they are “satisfied” is deducted from those…

Read More Read More

Can the blues make the LIBOR affair stick on Labour and Miliband?

Can the blues make the LIBOR affair stick on Labour and Miliband?

Comments 0 Comment

Could it really be be a game changer? The headlines are not good for Labour this morning as more accusations come into the open about the last government and the LIBOR scandal. You sense a real sense of relief in the battered blue team that now they can go on the attack. Whoever does the Tory HQ Twitter feed appears to be on steroids as every effort is made to maximise damage to the party with solid 40 ratings in…

Read More Read More

Top pollsters agree: The Tories are getting it wrong on UKIP

Top pollsters agree: The Tories are getting it wrong on UKIP

Comments 0 Comment

@benatipsosmori @MSmithsonPB Me too. — Martin Boon (@martinboon) July 3, 2012 The EU isn’t the driver that many think it is After this morning’s thread header arguing that the Conservatives were misreading the threat from UKIP two of the UK’s top political pollsters, the CEOs of Ipsos-MORI and ICM, Ben Page and Martin Boon, have Tweeted to say they agree. The point that was being made, using reported information about the Tories’ private polling, was that the impact of the…

Read More Read More

Two in 3 CON-UKIP switchers DO NOT mention the EU

Two in 3 CON-UKIP switchers DO NOT mention the EU

Comments 0 Comment

Are the Tories mis-reading the threat from Farage? I’ve just come across some intriguing polling that was tucked away in a post on the Coffee House website last month by the Speccie’s James Forsyth, In it he reported on a series of “calm the nerves” briefing sessions that are being held at Number 10 for groups of a dozen or so Tory back-benchers. Part of this is a presentation by the ex-Populus boss who is now Number 10’s strategy director,…

Read More Read More

The Lib Dems the big gainer in new ComRes phone poll

The Lib Dems the big gainer in new ComRes phone poll

Comments 0 Comment

And also the ComRes TRUTH LEAGUE A second phone poll in a week has good news for the Lib Dems. Last Tuesday ICM had Clegg’s party up 3 to 14%. Tonight ComRes has them up 4 to 14% – a level they last touched in February. This follows yesterday’s ICM Wisdom poll where respondents are asked to guess the general election shares for the main parties. This had 32/39/17. Also from ComRes there is an online poll for ITV news…

Read More Read More

Can Dave ever satisfy his party on Europe?

Can Dave ever satisfy his party on Europe?

Comments 0 Comment

Could the blues split themselves once again over the EU? If Dave thought that his Sunday Telegraph article on an EU referendum was going to deal with the growing pressure he was wrong. All it has done is open up new lines of attack and the weekend strategy looks as though it could have been a mistake. One of his beaten opponents in the 2005 leadership contest who became the first Tory to leave the cabinet, Liam Fox, has gone…

Read More Read More

The Bain picture that’s becoming Romney’s Bullingdon?

The Bain picture that’s becoming Romney’s Bullingdon?

Comments 0 Comment

Could Mitt time as CEO be crucial in November? The big polling picture for November’s White House election is that Obama and Romney are running pretty close to each in what, in the parlance of US elections coverage, are described as “statistical ties”. But those polls are national ones and, as we all know, the outcome will be determined by individual state battles which in almost every case allocate their electoral college votes on a first past the post basis….

Read More Read More