Time to close down those Mitt Romney positions

Time to close down those Mitt Romney positions

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This is the moment when I realize that –save for the pesky 22nd Amendment — Bill Clinton right now would be running for his sixth term. — Walter Shapiro (@waltershapiroPD) September 6, 2012 Clinton’s genius is in trotting out totally focus-group-tested lines and making them sound incredibly authentic. — Nate Silver (@fivethirtyeight) September 6, 2012 Clinton mastery is not just getting crowd going, but getting him going in his direction. An interactive speech, an experience. #DNC2012 — Rick Klein (@rickklein)…

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It’s now a polling dead heat between Romney and Obama

It’s now a polling dead heat between Romney and Obama

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But Nate Silver reckons that Barack has a 76.3% chance? The latest Real Clear Politics average on the November White House race shows that the gap has got closer following last week’s GOP convention in Tampa and they are now dead level. But the leading US elections expert, Nate Silver, has now adjusted his forecast making the President a 76.3% chance to hold onto his job. Nate’s case is that previous elections the historicial evidence points to the contender who…

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Cameron made a mistake attacking EdM over the coffee

Cameron made a mistake attacking EdM over the coffee

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Does he need to take a lesson from Maggie? Overall I thought that both David Cameron and Ed Miliband did well at the first session of PMQs for nearly two months. Both seemed to be charged up and on top of things after their holidays which, unlike last year, were not interrupted by the need to return to London because of the rioting. The one part of Dave’s performance wherehe made a mistake was his attack on Ed Miliband for…

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Is the tide turning against Ed Miliband and Labour?

Is the tide turning against Ed Miliband and Labour?

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LAB YouGov lead down to 6% again CON 34%, LAB 40%, LD 10%, UKIP 7%.Is the mood turning against Ed’s party? — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 5, 2012 Two of the past 3 YouGov polls have had LAB leads down to 6% – and ComRes had it down to 4% when the party leader names were mentioned. — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 5, 2012 Could doubts about Ed raise their head again? The first polls of September have seen what…

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Next PB get together at Dirty Dicks: Oct 25th from 6.30pm

Next PB get together at Dirty Dicks: Oct 25th from 6.30pm

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Hope you can make the next PB gathering Thanks to Fat Steve for once again organising this. We are having another informal get-together at the historic Dirty Dicks pub opposite the main entrance to Liverpool Street station in London. These events have become a regular part of the PB scene over the years and the venue works well. Whatever your connection with PB – whether you are a poster or not – you’ll be most welcome. Put the date in…

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Shifting to the right could make the blues’ task harder

Shifting to the right could make the blues’ task harder

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Is it wise for Dave to abandon the centre ground? However you view the changes in Dave’s cabinet line-up it’s hard not to conclude that this marks a shift to the right – nowhere more than with the appointment of non-lawyer, Chris Grayling, as the Justice Secretary – taking over from Ken Clarke who, according to the polling, was one of the most popular Tories in the cabinet. This is the judgement of the Spectator’s James Forsyth In policy terms,…

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The scale of the reshuffle looks bigger than was thought

The scale of the reshuffle looks bigger than was thought

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Will it make the blues more popular? The day is going to be dominated by the reshuffle as hour by hour new details emerge. At the moment it’s hard to be confident about the winners and losers and all eyes will be on which of the 2010 Tory intake will get preferment. From what has emerged overnight it seems that Dave has sacked Cheryl Gillan , the Welsh Secretary, Ken Clarke , and Andrew Lansley – the ex-SDPer who was…

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2 polls have the LDs getting a big boost with Cable as leader

2 polls have the LDs getting a big boost with Cable as leader

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And LAB drops 4% when Ed Miliband is named as leader? The Liberal Democrats would significantly improve their prospects at the next general election if Vince Cable replaced Nick Clegg as leader, according to both ComRes phone survey for tomorrow’s Independent and YouGov for the Sun. ComRes asked three VI question:- When the standard voting question was asked 12% said Lib Dem When Clegg was named as leader this rose to 14%. But when the named LD leader was Vince…

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