Marf on the big speech
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The media should have been more sceptical about the pre-LAB conference Tory-funded Populus poll?
Why did the Guardian & others give it coverage Last Saturday in what appeared to be a very aggressive move the Conservative party published the findings of a survey about Ed Miliband and Labour that it had commissioned from Populus. Unlike the firm’s standard voting intention surveys the poll was carried out online. Several papers including the Guardian and the Times gave it quite a bit of coverage and all added to the narrative about Ed Miliband. Populus, of course,…
Ed’s speech owes as much to Danny Boyle as it does to Disraeli
Tweet The Henry G Manson verdict Today’s speech by Ed Miliband worked. It was a speech many thought he had in him and had seen glimpses of to Labour audiences on the campaign trail to be leader but feared would never be realised. The theme of One Nation Labour is very important because it is going to run right up to the election. Some have described the speech as ‘inspiring’ and even right of centre journalists seem complimentary about the…
Ed Miliband’s speech will get him a closer in the “Best PM” ratings
Tweet The party looks set to get more behind him The one set of ratings that the Tories always throw at Ed Miliband are those below on who “would be best Prime Minister”. Here EdM has suffered because of the reluctance of many of those saying they’d vote Labour to get behind their man. My guess is that the main impact of this afternoon’s speech, in terms of the all important media narrative, will be that after two years the…
Ed’s big speech – how is he doing..?
Ed Miliband has to shake off the blame within two years or else Labour won’t win outright
Tweet YouGov The time is starting to run out I make no apologies for returning to this subject once again but I regard the above “blame for the cuts” findings as more important than voting intention numbers or leader ratings in pointing to the outcome of the next general election. The Opinium poll for the Observer at the weekend had very similar numbers with just 29% of those sampled blaming the coalition. Today’s YouGov for the Sun has Labour back…
ComRes: Lib Dems up 3 to 15: Labour lead down to 3: More poor leadership numbers for EdM
Has Miliband’s “Budget bonus” finally subsided? There’s a new telephone poll from ComRes for the Independent which has the Lib Dems moving up 3 to 15% at the expense of Labour which sees the smallest gap over the Tories since Osborne’s much-criticised March budget. On leader ratings there’s other bad news for Labour. Asked whether Mr Miliband has what it takes to be a good prime minister, 22% agree and 63% disagree. For Dave the figures are 39% and 52%…
Concern about the EU slumps to 3 percent in the latest Ipsos-MORI issues index
Ipsos-MORI The latest Ipsos-MORI issues index is out and the main finding together with the trend on the the EU are in the chart above. Interestingly the economy is down quite sharply although overall it is by far the biggest concern. This unique polling which has been carried out by the firm for more than 35 years seeks to test the salience of specific issue areas by not prompting those who take part. Instead they are invited simply to name…