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The issues voters told YouGov would impact on their vote.How do Tories appeal to both 2010 LDs &Ukip supporters? twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 19, 2013 Above is a fascinating chart showing the issues that those sampled by YouGov said would influence their vote at the next general election. There are two columns, I would suggest, you should focus on: the views of Ukip supporters and those of 2010 LDs. These, of course, are where most the allegiance shifting…

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And ComRes online has Ukip up to a record 19% for any firm ComRes leader ratings see Dave drop to new low & EdM to new high Amongst other questions If a party wants my support at the next general election, it is important to me that they offer a referendum on Britain’s membership of the EU Agree: 49% Disagree: 27% Don’t know: 24% Ed Miliband is likely to be Prime Minister after the next election Agree: 31% Disagree: 37%…

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Social conservatives are the key swing vote of the moment When David Cameron was Leader of the Opposition, he put a great deal of effort into detoxifying the Conservative brand – the analysis being that in order to gain an election-winning coalition, the Conservatives needed to pull swing centrist voters from both Labour and the Lib Dems.  In as far as it went, that was true but it was far from the whole picture. By going out of his way…

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The money goes on Phillip Hammond for next CON leader.Hills move his price from 10/1 to 8/1. May is 4/1 Boris 5/1 twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 17, 2013