The Wythenshawe & Sale East saw for the eight time in fifteen Great British by-elections since 2010 the Lib Dems lose their deposit. At the 2010 General Election, the Lib Dems were the only party out of the three established GB wide parties not to lose their deposit in any seat. The above graph shows just how badly the Lib Dems have done, all bar one, their share of the vote has fallen, it was only in the unique circumstances behind…
The primary reason I’ve been reluctant to heavily back Andrews Mitchell and Lansley (or any other Tory MP) is that I think David Cameron wants to avoid having an unnecessary by-election. My own hunch is that UKIP’s best chance of winning a by-election in this parliament will be in a Conservative held seat, and that may influence David Cameron’s choice when deciding our next man in Bruxelles. So he may go for some who isn’t currently a Member of Parliament,…
This morning's headline on the bbc website pic.twitter.com/CM7dPT6r0u — The Screaming Eagles (@TSEofPB) February 16, 2014 We’ve seen some polling over the weekend on David Cameron and the Government’s handling/response to the floods. Opinium for the Observer found Opinium/Observer on the flooding pic.twitter.com/GgQB5uGRaB — The Screaming Eagles (@TSEofPB) February 16, 2014 ComRes found ComRes on the floods I feel the Govt is beginning to get a grip on the flooding situation in Britain 23% Agreed 59% Disagreed — The Screaming…
Farage & UKIP down in ComRes favourability index “Please indicate whether you have a favourable or unfavourable view of each of the following political leaders and parties…” Percentage saying “favourable” (change since last month, or *change since June 2013). David Cameron 31% +4 Ed Miliband 22% +4 Nigel Farage 20% -2 Nick Clegg 13% (0) Labour Party 31% +5 Conservative Party 28% +3 Liberal Democrats 17% +3 UKIP 24% -3 48% tell ComRes that recent floods have made them more…
@IsabelHardman @MSmithsonPB This remains the most effective Tory poster in recent years. pic.twitter.com/w5PbBHgRDA — RupertLescott (@RupertLescott) February 14, 2014 Why Dave’s successor is not going to be another old-Etonian Last night there was an interesting post-Wythenshawe discussion kicked off by the Tweet at the top by the Spectator’s Isabel Hardman. Over the past half century just three Tory leaders have led their party to victory with overall majorities at general elections. They were Heath in 1970, Thatcher in 1979, 1983…
Kingstanding on Birmingham (Lab Defence) Result: Conservative 1,571 (47% +7% on 2012), Labour 1,433 (43% +3% on 2012), United Kingdom Independence Party 266 (8%, no candidate in 2012), Liberal Democrats 43 (1% -1% on 2012), National Front 33 (1% unchanged on 2012) Conservative GAIN from Labour with a majority of 138 (4%) on a swing of 2% from Labour to Conservative Reeth and Arkengarthdale on Richmondshire (Ind Defence) Result: Non Party Independent 273 (77%), Conservative 83 (23% +11% on 2011)…
It’s tougher because LAB, at least, has worked out how to fight them We’ve heard a lot from Nigel Farage and others Kippers in the past day or so about the difficulty of fighting what they describe as the “ruthless” Labour machine. The very high proportion of votes cast that were done by post is one of the things that they’ve highlighted as though it was somehow unfair. It may or may not be but that is the current electoral…
LAB vote in #Wythenshawe 55% – up from the 44% of GE2010 UKIP 17.8% up from 3% at GE2010 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 14, 2014 #Wythenshawe is UKIP's poorest by-election result since Croydon North in November 2012 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 14, 2014 In terms of % vote loss #Wythenshawe is the Lib Dems worst by-election result since 1945 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 14, 2014 The harsh lesson for UKIP in #Wythenshawe is that under first past the…