Castle on Carlisle (Lab Defence) Result: Labour 364 (38% -4% on 2011), Conservatives 212 (22%), UKIP 208 (22%), Liberal Democrats 112 (12% -22%), Greens 51 (5% -5%) Labour HOLD with a majority of 152 (16%) on a swing of 13% from Labour to Conservative Castle on Cumbria (Lab Defence) Result: Labour 389 (38% -3%), Conservatives 245 (24% +13%), UKIP 235 (23% +3%), Liberal Democrats 112 (11% -13%), Greens 51 (5% +1%) Labour HOLD with a majority of 144 (14%) on…
Sept Ipsos-MORI has CON 1% lead amongst those certain to vote but 3% behind amongst all giving an opinion pic.twitter.com/JlQ59xwTNH — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 12, 2014 LAB lead up with today's Populus online poll Lab 37 (+1), Con 33 (-1), LD 9 (=), UKIP 13 (+1) — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 12, 2014 LAB set to win more GE2015 seats on 2.6% fewer votes than CON according to latest @StephenDFisher projection. pic.twitter.com/mwe7mXJY98 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 12, 2014
At current odds the value bet is on YES BREAKING: Scottish #indyref too close to call says ICM @guardian poll > 42% no, 40% yes, but a full 17% undecided http://t.co/pSmwv00Zl7 — Guardian Scotland (@GdnScotland) September 12, 2014 With the IndyRef so close the value bet must be on YES. £100 bet on Betfair provides winnings of YES £350 NO £24 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 12, 2014 Reason why 17% DKs in ICM phone poll compared with 4% YouGov is that…
By more than two to one women don’t trust Salmond The big difference between the latest YouGov IndyRef poll and the one from last weekend showing a 2% YES lead has been a big switch amongst women voters. As the chart shows YES is almost maintaining a solid lead amongst men, It’s the big move amongst women voters in less than a week that have driven the big change. In the Sunday Times poll NO had just a 6% lead…
Castle on Carlisle (Lab Defence) Result of last election to council (2014): Labour 29, Conservatives 19, Independents 2, Liberal Democrats 2 (Labour majority of 6) Result of ward at last election (2011): Labour 539 (42%), Liberal Democrats 438 (34%), Greens 135 (10%), TUSC 90 (7%), BNP 84 (7%) Candidates duly nominated: Robert Currie (Con), Richard Hunt (Green), Lawrence Jennings (Lib Dem), Fiona Mills (UKIP), Alan Taylor (Lab) Carlisle was never really a Lib Dem bright spot even at the best…
How the Sun is reporting its big news IndyRef poll pic.twitter.com/3PpCRoD7tf — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 11, 2014 NO back in the led with YouGov YES: 48% (-3) NO: 52% (+3) — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 11, 2014 YouGov #indyref "Yes" only ahead in one age group – 25 to 39 year olds. All others – inc 16 to 24 year olds – backing Scotland to remain — Sam Coates Times (@SamCoatesTimes) September 11, 2014 …biggest fall with Scots women, who…
New ComRes IndyRef poll for @ITVBorder of South of Scotland finds NO 67% YES 33% — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 11, 2014 81% of those interviewed by phone for ComRes South of Scotland IndyRef poll said they were 10/10 certain to vote — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 11, 2014 English born respondents in ComRes South of Scotland IndyRef phone poll divide 76% NO to 13% YES — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 11, 2014 65+ segment in ComRes South of Scotland…
Last Sat news of YouGov IndyRef shock poll was 1st leaked by one @rupertmurdoch . Will he do same today – perhaps only if YES ahead? — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 11, 2014 YES prices edges up from 19% to 21% on the Betfair exchange. This could be anticipating tonight's YouGov IndyRef poll — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 11, 2014 The extraordinary feature of these closing IndyRef polls is that the firms that hitherto were most favourable to NO have…