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Wikimedia An unusual feature of the new Survation poll for the Daily Mirror is that, partly at my suggestion, it used the two stage voting question similar to that which we see in the Ashcroft marginals polling. After the standard one was put the sample was asked to think specifically about the candidates likely to be standing in their seats and which one would they choose. The options were not the parties but were in the format of “the XYZ…

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Revised @LordAshcroft poll Tweet. The first survey from him this year that doesn't have LAB behind. pic.twitter.com/Cu8pgNGtxL — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 26, 2015 Today there’s 1 point gap Mondays have become the biggest polling day of the week witch at least three new surveys being reported. In the morning we get Populus online, the afternoon Lord Ashcroft and the normal YouGov in the evening. Today we’ve got a new London YouGov survey for the Evening Standard (see below). But…

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Mapping where the main action will be If the two main parties are level-pegging in England then that represents a swing of 5.7% on the last general election so, all the above should be potential LAB gains on current England only polling data. In almost all of the seats in the chart there has been Lord Ashcroft single constituency polling and the latest batch, just before Christmas, of those right at the top of the chart had more CON holds…

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The 22 key seats where Man Uni's Rob Ford says the Greens could threaten LAB Observer http://t.co/3bZwdemtoy pic.twitter.com/Y9O2FrXZ4v — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 24, 2015 Now Miliband might have to secure GREEN-RED tactical voting The leading political scientist, Rob Ford of Manchester University, has an analysis in the Observer this morning about the dangers of the current Green party surge to Labour’s GE15 chances. The 22 seats, some of them currently LAB held some are targets, are shown above and…

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