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Tuesday evening round up

16/6/2015 TSE Comments 0 Comment

Donald Trump enters the race to be President. I’ll make a bold prediction now. Donald Trump will never be President of the United States of America Donald Trump enters the race to be President in 2016. http://t.co/hakRCMjDFh — TSE (@TSEofPB) June 16, 2015 Today’s essential must read. Conhome have published the inside story on how the Tories won the election, here is an excerpt. Having pickedÂ the seats and selectedÂ the candidates, the next step was toÂ understand keyÂ voters in each constituency. Lynton…

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Ladbrokes Buzzword Bingo on tomorrow’s Labour leadership debate – while YouGov London Mayor poll will bring cheer to Dame Tessa Jowell

16/6/2015 TSE Comments 0 Comment

Edstone at 2/1 is tempting At times it feels these types of markets exist purely to contribute to the Bookies’ Christmas bonus fund, but I quite like Edstone at 2/1 given the prominence it was given during the campaign and afterwards, you get the feeling at least one of the leadership contenders will mention it in tomorrow night’s BBC debate. The link to the Ladbrokes market is here. TSE London Mayor: @YouGov poll sees Jowell beat Goldsmith 57% to 43%,…

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How Grexit could change British politics

16/6/2015 TSE Comments 0 Comment

Front Page of the Telegraph, looks like a Greek Tragedy for the Euro, will it lead to Acropolis Now? pic.twitter.com/sZnAD129v5 — TSE (@TSEofPB) June 15, 2015 How economic problems in Greece could mean a tragedy for some in British politics. To we non economists, Greece and the Euro seems to be the most doomed relationship in that part of the world since Helen eloped with Paris, there is increased talk of a Grexit in recent days, so how will a…

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Polling Matters/Political Betting podcast: Your questions needed

15/6/2015 TSE Comments 0 Comment

This week Keiran will be interviewing James Morris on polling, Labour and the General Election campaign. As most will know, James was Ed Miliband’s pollster during the recent election. Keiran will be taking questions from social media and putting them to James. If you have a question please post in the comments box. I am sure it goes without saying, keep them sensible and constructive if you want them read out. The episode is being recorded on Tuesday and should…

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It is Jez We Can as Corbyn makes it on to the leadership ballot paper

15/6/2015 TSE Comments 0 Comment

.@jeremycorbyn makes @UKLabour leadership ballot paper: http://t.co/j3sLRjNUD5 pic.twitter.com/Yp4QSGmSJW — PoliticsHome (@politicshome) June 15, 2015 I think Corbyn’s being there helps Andy Burnham the most, it will be very hard for his opponents to describe Burnham as the most left wing candidate running or the favoured son of the trade unions. Andy Burnham still the favourite to be the next Labour leader. pic.twitter.com/xTkVl98jOn — TSE (@TSEofPB) June 15, 2015 So far only 2500 union members signed up to take part in…

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We should take a David Miliband comeback seriouslyâ€¦it really could happen

15/6/2015 TSE Comments 0 Comment

As MP nominations for Labour leader close, Keiran Pedley argues that the main person to watch is not standing. David Miliband is on manoeuvres. There is no doubt about that. Having been out of the spotlight since moving to America, he now clearly intends to make his presence felt. He has made several high profile interventions in recent weeks on where Labour (and his brother) went wrong. Such interventions in politics are rarely accidental. They are planned and for a…

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Andy Burnham should make sure this focus group from 2010 gets a wider audience

14/6/2015 TSE Comments 0 Comment

Thanks to Danny565 for posting this video on last night’s thread, it is a clip from a Newsnight focus group from 2010 of twelve voters from Bristol who didn’t vote Labour in 2010, about the then Labour Leadership election which eventually saw Ed Milband win. Each of the five candidates had a three minute speech then a Question and Answer session with the voters, after all had been on, the voters were asked to give their verdict, of the twelve,…

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Is this the Old Etonian you should be backing as next Tory leader?

14/6/2015 TSE Comments 0 Comment

Can Zac do what Boris has done and become the favourite to be the next Tory leader? One of the main challenges for the Tory Party at the next election is holding on to all those voters dubbed the Blue Liberals in the marginals and the previously Lib Dem held seats which are now Tory seats.Â Without David Cameron, that challenge becomes harder, but who best to appeal to those voters? Zac Goldsmith could, he’s well known for his environmental policies,…

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