The data that underlines the importance of the current election Whichever of the four ins he/she will have to be perceived a lot better than Ed was if the red team is to have any chance whatsoever. This polling should be at the heart of the leadership campaign. A non-credible leader means a likely third consecutive general election defeat. Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet
The Tories Are Staying Off TV So Everyone Watches Labour Tear Itself Apart: http://t.co/AZhXnbt9eV pic.twitter.com/23BfY8ZdKy — BuzzFeed News UK (@BuzzFeedNewsUK) July 27, 2015 Notice there’s been nothing from the blue side re-Mid Staffs Probably the most successful Lynton Crosby message in the run-up to May 7th was the warning of “confusion and chaos” if Labour was returned. It was this, I’d suggest that helped get the marginal CON supporters out to vote and UKIP switchers back into the fold in…
Is he having second thoughts about his exit date? Following Cameron’s comments in the BBC interview at the end of March there’s a widespread assumption that at some stage this parliament that he’ll step aside and a new CON leader will be elected presumably becoming PM before the May 2020 general election. But is he? The conversation in Cameron’s kitchen came at a time when the election outcome looked very tight. Very few were making assumptions that an overall CON…
The 60-something candidate, initially priced at 100/1 by Ladbrokes, suddenly looks like he might actually win. The public seem to have had enough of the over-coached younger generation and his price tumbles to single figures, but the establishment judges warn that he is making a mockery of the contest. I speak, of course, of the 2008 series of Strictly Come Dancing. John Sergeant saw off the likes of Gary Rhodes and Cherie Lunghi but then bowed out, saying: “As time…
40 years after the Tories chose a women LAB looks set to stick with men It seems the Sunday Times story reported on by TSE in the last thread has prompted a move to Corbyn and Burnham on Betfair who now occupy the two top favourite slots. The prices on the two women, meanwhile, move out. When I get my ballot in three weeks time I’ll put the women top and the men bottom who in my judgement are far…
The Sunday Times front page on the plot by the hard left to infiltrate the Labour leadership race via @hendopolis pic.twitter.com/Avlm6SrzEo — TSE (@TSEofPB) July 25, 2015 The next Labour leader might have to keep the Blairites and Communists happy, that might not be possible. The major news overnight was the Sunday Times story on calls to Harriet Harman to suspend the Labour leadership election because of hard left infiltration, see the tweet above. I suspect the election isn’t going…
Whoever wins is likely to be there for the duration There’s something in Ed Miliband of the apocryphal academic who when presented with a result he disapproved of, stated “it might well work in practice but it doesn’t work in theoryâ€. More than once, proposals that Ed Miliband advanced had the look and feel of dealing with the world in abstract rather than the messy and contradictory one we live in. The reforms he initiated to Labour’s leadership process are…
Surely she’s got less than an 83% chance of becoming the Democratic party nominee? Talk stateside of Joe Biden now seriously considering run for Democratic nomination in light of Hilary Clinton's faltering campaign to date. — Andrew Neil (@afneil) July 24, 2015 For those who’ve not been following the WH2016 race some of the shine is coming off Hillary’s nomination chances because of the email row. This relates to the period that she was Obama’s Secretary of State and the…