Latest from the Betfair exchange on the LAB leadership
Cooper & Corbyn moving in: Kendall & Burnham edging out
Pick Corbyn now and do it all again in three years time?
Don Brind on what could happen Always look on the bright side of life. That’s me. So, here’s my reason for saying Jeremy Corbyn is the best choice for Labour leader now. Because he’s the most easily dumpable in two or three years time. That fits in with my argument in a previous PB post that Labour will need to be ruthless in getting a new leader if they trail in the polls after the Tories elect their new leader…
Local By-Election Results : July 23rd 2015
Mill Hill on Blackburn with Darwen (Lab defence) Result: Labour 505 (59% -7%), United Kingdom Independence Party 179 (21%, no candidate in 2012), Conservatives 106 (12% -6%), Liberal Democrats 69 (8% -7%) Labour HOLD with a majority of 326 (38%) on a swing of 14% from Labour to United Kingdom Independence Party New Tredegar on Caerphilly (Lab defence) Result: Labour 648 (83% unchanged), United Kingdom Independence Party 90 (11%, no candidate in 2012), Conservatives 47 (6%, no candidate in 2012)…
The latest PB/Polling Matters podcast: The YouGov LAB leadership poll with Sky political analyst Harry Carr
Examining the most talked about survey since GE2015 In the latest Politicalbetting/Polling Matters podcast the focus is on the most talked about published poll that there has been since the General Election – the YouGov Times survey of those who next month will be voting for the next LAB leader. This, of course, flagged that Jeremy Corbyn had both a lead on first preferences and after the the second and third preferences were taken into account. There’s little doubt that…
Four LAB defences and one LD one in tonight’s local by-elections
Harry Hayfield’s review Mill Hill on Blackburn with Darwen (Lab defence) Result of council at last election (2015): Labour 47, Conservatives 14, Liberal Democrats 3 (Labour majority of 30) Result of ward at last election (2012): Labour 967 (66%), Conservatives 264 (18%), Liberal Democrat 220 (15%) Candidates duly nominated: Alan Dean (Lib Dem), Michael Longbottom (UKIP), Carl Nuttall (Lab), Helen Tolley (Con) Blackburn, home of the former Foreign Secretary Jack Straw, was always supposed to be a rock solid Labour…
This afternoon what’s only the eighth GE2020 voting intention poll since May 7th
LDs in double figures in first VI poll following Farron's election as leader. See Ipsos-MORI July poll pic.twitter.com/OtOC8j6CwZ — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 23, 2015 Ipsos also asked whether the LAB4 were seen as potential PMs How are the LAB 4 seen as possible future PM's. This from July Ipsos-MORI poll pic.twitter.com/dgfiG59Je8 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 23, 2015
Just one in 20 Corbyn supporters tell YouGov LAB poll that the chances of him winning GE20 was a key factor
Liz Kendall said to be under pressure to pull out of the race in an effort to stop Corbyn
Could she could back Cooper in return for being Shadow Chancellor? One immediate effect of the YouGov Labour leader poll is, as the Times is reporting on its front page this morning, that pressure is being put on Liz Kendall to pull out of the race in order to make it easier to stop Corbyn. According to the report:- “An ally of Ms Cooper called on Ms Kendall to make a sacrifice similar to that made by Gordon Brown, who…