Surely she’s got less than an 83% chance of becoming the Democratic party nominee?
Talk stateside of Joe Biden now seriously considering run for Democratic nomination in light of Hilary Clinton's faltering campaign to date.
— Andrew Neil (@afneil) July 24, 2015
For those who’ve not been following the WH2016 race some of the shine is coming off Hillary’s nomination chances because of the email row. This relates to the period that she was Obama’s Secretary of State and the allegation that some of her communications were via a private email account that wasn’t subject to the the levels of security that her official account would have had.
The latest developments, see the ABC clip above, has led to some observers describing her campaign to be next president as “faltering”.
What makes this interesting from a betting point of view is that she has become such a massive odds-on favourite to be the Democratic party nominee. Overnight I’ve wagered several hundred pounds laying her on Betfair – effectively betting at longer than 4/1 that she won’t be selected. This is a trading bet not a prediction.
There’s a very long way to go anyway until the primaries start and a lot can happen in the meantime. Potential contenders who’d held back because they felt that Hillary was a foregone conclusion might start to reconsider. In the past day there’s been some speculation about the Vice-President, Joe Biden, and his price saw some movement.