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Category: WHITE HOUSE RACE

The Electoral College Vote goes to Biden who, as expected, secures 306 votes

The Electoral College Vote goes to Biden who, as expected, secures 306 votes

And Betfair finally pays out What has been by far the biggest political betting market ever was finally resolved overnight when the Electoral College met and Biden is now officially the President-elect. But there is another hurdle. The results get reported to Congress on January 6th and if members in both houses decide to put it to the vote then that will take place in both the House an Senate. The former should be fine for Biden but the Senate…

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Even today with the Electoral College meeting Betfair punters rate Trump’s chances at 3%

Even today with the Electoral College meeting Betfair punters rate Trump’s chances at 3%

As the Betdarta.io chart shows the Betfair WH2020 is still open more than five weeks after other bookies settled Biden as the winner. The total of matched bets on Betfair is now heading for £1.7m BILLION which is up more than billion since the other bookies settled their markets in the weekend after the election. What has driven the continuation of this market has been the readiness of some punters to bet on Donald Trump even though the numbers are…

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WH2020 passes another milestone making Trump’s effort to discredit the results even more challenging – Safe Harbour Day

WH2020 passes another milestone making Trump’s effort to discredit the results even more challenging – Safe Harbour Day

Tuesday was “Safe Harbour Day” Tuesday saw another important key date for Donald Trump as he desperately tries to deny the results of the presidential election and somehow cling onto power. For it was what is known as “Safe Harbour Day” which last became an issue at WH2000 when Bush squeezed victory over Gore following the very tight race in Florida. NBC News explains it in this way: The Electoral Count Act was passed in 1887, after four states sent…

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Legendary Republican political strategist, Karl Rove, says the WH2020 outcome will be hard to overturn

Legendary Republican political strategist, Karl Rove, says the WH2020 outcome will be hard to overturn

With Trump continuing to fight the verdict of voters in last week’s election there’s a warning to the White House from former adviser to Republican presidents and longstanding GOP operative, Karl Rove, about the current en passe. Writing in the Wall Street Journal he notes: To win, Mr. Trump must prove systemic fraud, with illegal votes in the tens of thousands. There is no evidence of that so far. Unless some emerges quickly, the president’s chances in court will decline…

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It shouldn’t be long before WH2020 bets are settled

It shouldn’t be long before WH2020 bets are settled

Given the scale of betting activity on the American election quite a few punters have been in contact asking when bets are going to be settled. The timing very much depends on the type of bet and those linked to the number of Electoral College Votes are going to have to wait until recounts, like the one for Georgia have been completed. Bets linked to overall vote shares will be settled once all the counting has been complete and there…

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If there had been an equal number of men and women voting then Trump would have won a second term

If there had been an equal number of men and women voting then Trump would have won a second term

Lots of analysis at the moment about the US election following the victory of Joe Biden and defeat of Donald Trump. One of the features of US elections which has been critical this year is that there is a much higher level of participation in US elections by women over men. There are more women than men in the US, they are more likely to be registered and have a greater propensity to actually vote. Thus of those who took…

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The Pennsylvania count looks set to go onto into next week but punters are convinced Biden’s won

The Pennsylvania count looks set to go onto into next week but punters are convinced Biden’s won

Chart – Betdata.io It is perhaps worth restating that the reason why the Pennsylvania count is going on for so long is that there was a deliberate decision of the Republican controlled state authority to operate it that way. With so many voters choosing to cast their ballots by post the majority of states arranged postal ballots be processed as they came in in the weeks before the election. Not so in Pennsylvania where the state decided that nothing should…

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