Sir Vince Cable predicts George Osborne will be the next Prime Minister

Sir Vince Cable predicts George Osborne will be the next Prime Minister

Comments 0 Comment

In October 1974 Thatcher was 50/1 to be the next Tory leader. Less than four months later, she became Tory leader pic.twitter.com/OiALS7dNSI — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 5, 2015 The favourite this far out seldom wins the Tory leadership – Will Osborne be any different? In an interview with the Guardian today Sir Vince Cable predicts that George Osborne will be the next Prime Minister. Sir Vince like Mark Antony comes to bury Osborne, not praise him by saying Osborne is “extremely shrewd…

Read More Read More

Syria: a call to alms?

Syria: a call to alms?

Comments 0 Comment

Thursday morning's front pages via @suttonnick pic.twitter.com/qyPsNJAdTz — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 4, 2015 One death is a tragedy; a million is a statistic. Trite and perhaps misattributed though that quote is, it has probably never been more true than this week when the image of one young boy on a Turkish beach did more to highlight the plight of Syrian people than any number of reports of the death toll in the conflict (about 240,000 so far, including 12,000 children),…

Read More Read More

Understanding the Cooper surge

Understanding the Cooper surge

Comments 0 Comment

As with other bookies Yvette Cooper's chances on Betfair have improved in the last 36 hours, she's now 2nd favourite pic.twitter.com/3iYuOS9Qnl — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 4, 2015 As with other bookies Burnham's chances on Betfair have declined in the last 36 hours, he was 2nd fave now 3rd fave pic.twitter.com/OWNzzoj5Nb — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 4, 2015 Ladbrokes: 74% chance Corbyn will win #Labour vote. Cooper overtakes Burnham as main threat. http://t.co/taExTpXAwj pic.twitter.com/BVUyXDZker — Ladbrokes Politics (@LadPolitics) September 4, 2015 In…

Read More Read More

Is Hillary in trouble and can ‘The Donald’ last?

Is Hillary in trouble and can ‘The Donald’ last?

Comments 0 Comment

Whilst Clinton and Trump set the pace, a host of other candidates are waiting in the wings.  Polling expert Keiran Pedley runs the rule over the 2016 US Presidential hopefuls. Having spent the past week in the U.S. visiting my wife’s parents I have been able to spend some time looking at the 2016 US Presidential race in detail. Make no mistake, the campaign is in full swing, with Iowa and New Hampshire just a few short months away. I…

Read More Read More

Six days until the ballot closes and some people still haven’t received their ballot papers

Six days until the ballot closes and some people still haven’t received their ballot papers

Comments 0 Comment

Hmmmm http://t.co/DKqC19NDFL pic.twitter.com/9NZRzrOAZS — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 3, 2015 Last night the Guardian reported that Labour members and supporters have begun protesting to the party about their lack of ballot papers with less than a week to go before the leadership election closes. The party initially promised that 99.9% of its electorate would have received ballot papers by 28 August, but it is now refusing to disclose how many of the 554,000 have been sent out.  A initial batch of…

Read More Read More

Local By-Election Result : September 3rd 2015

Local By-Election Result : September 3rd 2015

Comments 0 Comment

Bedwas, Trethomas and Machen on Caerphilly (Lab defence) Result: Labour 1,002 (47% -14%), Plaid Cymru 509 (24% +14%), Douglas (Independent, nominated as UKIP) 223 (11%, no candidate in 2012), Dew (Independent) 184 (9%), Conservatives 109 (5%, no candidate in 2012), Davies (Independent) 106 (5%) Labour HOLD with a majority of 493 (23%) on a swing of 14% from Labour to Plaid Cymru * Independent vote in by-election 513 (25%), Independent vote in 2012 (29%). Change: -4%

Just one by-election tonight – a Labour defence in Wales

Just one by-election tonight – a Labour defence in Wales

Comments 0 Comment

Bedwas, Trethomas and Machen on Caerphilly (Lab defence) Result of council at last election (2012): Labour 50, Plaid Cymru 20, Independent 3 (Labour majority of 27) Result of ward at last election (2012): Emboldened denotes elected Labour 1,854, 1,574, 1,282, 1,181 (61%) Non Party Independents 508, 484, 409, 254 (17%) Independents 438, 389, 378 (12%) Plaid Cymru 664, 258 (10%) Candidates duly nominated: Ray Davies (Ind), Ron Davies (Plaid), John Dew (Ind), Bobby Douglas (Ind, was UKIP), Lisa Jones (Lab),…

Read More Read More

Will Labour “go to the mattresses” if Corbyn wins?

Will Labour “go to the mattresses” if Corbyn wins?

Comments 0 Comment

Don Brind hopes that peace will break out There’s nothing erotic about going “to the mattresses”, as fans of the Godfather know. It’s violence not sex that Sonny Corleone has in mind when he declares that unless the Corleone clan get what they want “it’s all-out war, we go to the mattresses.” (It’s not safe for the “soldiers” to stay at home while the bloodletting ensues so they camp out in warehouses on those mattresses) Fears that the Labour party…

Read More Read More