YouGov Democrat debate polling finds Hillary getting big boost from this week’s event

YouGov Democrat debate polling finds Hillary getting big boost from this week’s event

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It’s becoming harder to see how she can be beaten for the nomination By far the biggest political betting story at the moment is the fight for the presidency of the United States. Although the election itself is 13 months away we are now going through the early stages of the party jostling as both Democrat and Republican hopefuls try to position themselves ahead of the primaries which start in February. This week saw the first TV debate for the…

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Local By-Election Preview : October 15th 2015

Local By-Election Preview : October 15th 2015

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Chatteris on Cambridgeshire (UKIP defence) Result of council at last election (2013): Conservatives 32, Liberal Democrats 14, United Kingdom Independence Party 12, Labour 7, Independents 4 (No Overall Control, Conservatives short by 3) Result of ward at last election (2013): United Kingdom Independence Party 584 (35%), Conservative 579 (34%), Liberal Democrat 358 (21%), Labour 159 (9%) Candidates duly nominated: John Freeman (Lib Dem), Richard Mandley (United Kingdom Independence Party), Alan Melton (Con) So far since the general election there have…

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Lynton Crosby could do it again next week and give the Tories outright power on a third of the vote

Lynton Crosby could do it again next week and give the Tories outright power on a third of the vote

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Or will the “good guys” win this time? Canadians go to the polls next week in an election that has echoes of the British General Election in May – the most intriguing being the involvement of Lynton Crosby. Prime Minister Stephen Harper hopes the Australian can repeat what he did for David Cameron — magic an outright victory in an election where the Tory poll numbers have been limping along in the low thirties. That was how the final polls…

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Antifrank: How the Conservatives will lose their hegemony

Antifrank: How the Conservatives will lose their hegemony

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In 1897, the British Empire was at its zenith.  “The sun never sets on the British Empire” was a literal truth.  It was the world’s dominant military power and gloried in its success as leader of the industrial revolution.  Its puissance seemed unchallengeable.  It was against that background that Rudyard Kipling composed a poem for Queen Victoria’s diamond jubilee.  This is its penultimate verse: “If, drunk with sight of power, we loose, Wild tongues that have not Thee in awe,…

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So in the end just 21 LAB MPs abstained

So in the end just 21 LAB MPs abstained

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ITV on tonight's big Commons vote http://t.co/MnrGtdM8LI pic.twitter.com/fGS710uneU — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 14, 2015 For sake of completeness, here's Lab MPs who didn't vote but who had prior commitments (not inc watching Apprentice) pic.twitter.com/W8meNOWEOR — Paul Waugh (@paulwaugh) October 14, 2015

JC getting better at PMQs but still work in progress

JC getting better at PMQs but still work in progress

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I was quite impressed with Corbyn at only his second PMQs. He came better prepared than his first outing and he had some good put downs for both Cameron and heckling CON back benchers. He’s stuck with his raising what people have emailed him about which I sense that Cameron found a little irritating. But why didn’t he raise what has been the government’s main embarrassment this week – the ministerial split and later u-turn on the Saudi prison contract?After…

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Hillary bounces back in the Democratic nomination betting after an assured performance in first debate

Hillary bounces back in the Democratic nomination betting after an assured performance in first debate

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How the US Politco site is reporting Hillary's performance in 1st debate http://t.co/9LXvKcsV8z pic.twitter.com/dnXLBQzdoa — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 14, 2015 She’s now back as a 74% chance on Betfair Overnight in Las Vagas there’s been the first TV debate of the Democratic primary. This was all about Hillary and how well she’d perform after a period of declining poll ratings and the rise of Bernie Sanders now with substantial leads in New Hampshire. The big news is that she came…

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Date for your diary: Next PB gathering October 29th 2015 – Shooting Star pub close to Liverpool Street Station

Date for your diary: Next PB gathering October 29th 2015 – Shooting Star pub close to Liverpool Street Station

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We’ve got a lot to catch up on The last PB gathering in London took place in March while EdM was odds on favourite to be the next PM, UKIP appeared to be heading for at least half a dozen seats, the LDs had 56 MPs, the SNP had just six Scottish seats and issues like whether the Honourable Jeremy Corbyn would kneel before the Queen were beyond anybody’s imagination. Since then an enormous amount has happened. Like last time…

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