Trump moves to new high in first poll carried out entirely AFTER his controversial Muslim immigration statement

Trump moves to new high in first poll carried out entirely AFTER his controversial Muslim immigration statement

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Trump reaches new high in Zogby poll conducted AFTER Muslim statement Trump: 38%Carson: 13%Rubio: 12%Cruz: 8%Bush: 7%Christie: 4% — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 10, 2015 He’s now 25% ahead in race for GOP nomination Those who were predicting, including punters on Betfair, that Donald Trump’s controversial Muslim immigration statement would be a negative might have read it wrongly. The very first published GOP nomination poll, from Zogby, carried out entirely afterwards has the property billionaire with a huge lead over…

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Turning on taxes. The tectonic plates of Scotland’s politics are moving

Turning on taxes. The tectonic plates of Scotland’s politics are moving

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The changes in the way Scotland is taxed We have heard a lot in the last few years about the desire for Scottish independence.  This has often been couched in general terms as a desire for a fairer and more prosperous Scotland based around a social democratic consensus.  Specific large scale points of difference from current UK policy, however, have been largely elusive.  While the Scottish Parliament has substantial powers, so far the Scottish government has been quite tentative about…

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Why GE2020 should NOT be between Osborne and Corbyn

Why GE2020 should NOT be between Osborne and Corbyn

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Both would be liabilities for their parties Today’s PMQs was without Cameron so it was George Osborne facing Labour’s official deputy Anna Eagle whose performance immediately set off betting speculation about her being Corbyn’s successor. Certainly by comparison with those from Labour who’ve been on that side of the House for several years Eagle was excellent. She was funny, warm and intellectually confident in a completely different league from her boss Mr. Corbyn and Ed Miliband who went before. You…

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At 10.30 am we’ll find out if the 2nd by-election of the 2015 parliament will be in Orkney and Shetland

At 10.30 am we’ll find out if the 2nd by-election of the 2015 parliament will be in Orkney and Shetland

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UPDATE Carmichael cleared Wednesday's The National front page:Carmichael:Judgment Day#tomorrowspaperstoday #bbcpapers #scotpapers pic.twitter.com/mVRAzpxg2w — Nick Sutton (@suttonnick) December 8, 2015 The election court will announce its decision in the Carmichael case If the case goes against the former Scottish Secretary then the LDs could lose the one seat in Scotland they hold and have to fight a by-election. Based on what happened in the Phil Woolas case in 2010 the Speaker might delay calling a vacancy in the constituency pending the…

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The 2016 London Mayoral race: Tories open their anti-Sadiq negative campaign

The 2016 London Mayoral race: Tories open their anti-Sadiq negative campaign

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The 1st from the anti-Sadiq Khan campaign. The Tories are going to need to do much better than this. pic.twitter.com/TREAAZKSXh — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 8, 2015 At the moment I’m not worried about my 50/1 Sadiq bet Like many PBers I’m on Sadiq Khan for London Mayor at longish odds following the excellent HenryG tip here two and a half years ago. My best price is 50/1 with PaddyPower so I’ve got a reasonably sized financial interest in the…

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Trump’s widely condemned comment about banning Muslims from entering the US might be smart politics

Trump’s widely condemned comment about banning Muslims from entering the US might be smart politics

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This is about winning the nomination Donald Trump’s statement about stopping Muslims from entering the US has been widely condemned both in America and round the world. In the UK David Cameron has joined those attacking the current GOP front runner and possibly the next President. But amidst all the noise some US pundits are saying that this might help the property billionaire just as there were polling indications that his position in Iowa, the first state to decide. was…

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Keiran Pedley says Corbyn is here to stay and Labour’s moderates have some thinking to do

Keiran Pedley says Corbyn is here to stay and Labour’s moderates have some thinking to do

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After a bruising week, Jeremy Corbyn has emerged stronger than ever writes Keiran Pedley leaving Labour’s moderates with plenty to think about. Every now and then a week comes along in British politics that is genuinely important and shapes what is to come. Last week was one of them. All of the ingredients pointed to a disaster for Jeremy Corbyn. From allegations that the leadership was ‘bullying’ MPs with farcical ‘consultations’ to a divisive Syria vote and THAT Hilary Benn…

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