Boost for Farage in the Ipsos satisfaction ratings on the day before the big vote

Boost for Farage in the Ipsos satisfaction ratings on the day before the big vote

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And Corbyn drops to new low with LAB voters Farage gets the best @IpsosMORI satisfaction ratings in final poll before referendum pic.twitter.com/qlmnU8DTOZ — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 22, 2016 Corbyn's Ipsos satisfaction ratings from LAB voters at lowest point since he became leader pic.twitter.com/rx33FliGUE — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 22, 2016 Cameron's @IpsosMORI satisfaction ratings amongst CON voters up a notch but still way behind where they were pic.twitter.com/rMbOwYUCdm — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 22, 2016

Tissue Price on why he thinks that Brexit has already happened

Tissue Price on why he thinks that Brexit has already happened

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Tomorrow is simply about the method and the timing Though our relationship with the EU may seem to be bookended by referendums, it’s politicians who’ve made the big calls. Edward Heath took us in to the EEC in 1973, and the nation endorsed that decision three summers later.  And Gordon Brown and Ed Balls set us on the path to eventual Brexit via the five economic tests they set for joining the Euro [supposedly in the back of a New York taxi!] It’s…

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What would David do?

What would David do?

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Far too little consideration has yet gone into what the referendum result will mean for British politics, even though it is now just a few days away.  If the polls are right – big if – Leave will win.  It’s time to consider what that might mean. David Cameron’s authority would be dust.  He has staked everything on the referendum and if Leave win he would have lost.  While many Conservative members remain well-disposed to him, including many who support…

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Four of the last pollsters to report have LEAVE doing better

Four of the last pollsters to report have LEAVE doing better

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The direction of travel is all one way Polling analysis where you have plenty of surveys is all about direction of travel and there’s a very clear message from the latest referendum surveys – it’s getting tighter and LEAVE’s position is improving. Survation REMAIN lead down from 3% on Sunday to 1% today YouGov LEAVE retakes lead in latest poll after being behind on Sunday ORB phone Amogst all voters REMAIN gap down to less than 3% Opinium Level pegging…

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The Nuneaton declaration, at about 2am, looks set to be the first big pointer as to whether we are IN or OUT

The Nuneaton declaration, at about 2am, looks set to be the first big pointer as to whether we are IN or OUT

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Yes Nuneaton will be key once again Back at GE2015 I think I can claim to have been the first to have identified Nuneaton, amongst the seats likely to declare early, as being the one to look forward to. This was a key target for Labour and a win would have suggested that it could be heading to win most seats. As it turned the town was the first key marginal to declare and Tory success in holding on proved…

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The referendum: The affluent versus the non-affluent summed up in two Populus polling charts

The referendum: The affluent versus the non-affluent summed up in two Populus polling charts

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Populus polling data on the people who are more likely to vote Remain pic.twitter.com/8KjzfawHzP — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 20, 2016 Following earlier chart on who is voting Remain Populus have issued this on LEAVE voters pic.twitter.com/CPag1STHu8 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 20, 2016