The Nuneaton declaration, at about 2am, looks set to be the first big pointer as to whether we are IN or OUT

The Nuneaton declaration, at about 2am, looks set to be the first big pointer as to whether we are IN or OUT

Comments 907 Comments

Yes Nuneaton will be key once again Back at GE2015 I think I can claim to have been the first to have identified Nuneaton, amongst the seats likely to declare early, as being the one to look forward to. This was a key target for Labour and a win would have suggested that it could be heading to win most seats. As it turned the town was the first key marginal to declare and Tory success in holding on proved…

Read More Read More

The referendum: The affluent versus the non-affluent summed up in two Populus polling charts

The referendum: The affluent versus the non-affluent summed up in two Populus polling charts

Comments 880 Comments

Populus polling data on the people who are more likely to vote Remain pic.twitter.com/8KjzfawHzP — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 20, 2016 Following earlier chart on who is voting Remain Populus have issued this on LEAVE voters pic.twitter.com/CPag1STHu8 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 20, 2016

Thursday could end up becoming a referendum on Nigel Farage

Thursday could end up becoming a referendum on Nigel Farage

Comments 753 Comments

If it does is that good or bad for BREXIT? I’ve just returned from three weeks in Spain – a holiday that was fixed well before the referendum date was announced and TSE, as usual, has been in charge of the site during my absence. Although I’ve continued to be very active on Twitter I have been viewing things from afar. What has struck me on my return is how the total dominant feature of the campaign has become that…

Read More Read More

Britain’s EU hokey-cokey: what would ‘in again’ look like and why isn’t Remain talking about it?

Britain’s EU hokey-cokey: what would ‘in again’ look like and why isn’t Remain talking about it?

Comments 491 Comments

  There’d be no special status second time round If there was one thing that won the Scottish Independence referendum for No (or Remain in current parlance), it was the currency question. The uncertainty surrounding what currency an independent Scotland would use, whether it would be forced into the Euro, which central bank – if any – would underpin the financial system and so on was not only a massive inhibitive in its own right but also encapsulated the wider…

Read More Read More

It’s 10/1 on a second EU Referendum being held before July 2017

It’s 10/1 on a second EU Referendum being held before July 2017

Comments 796 Comments

Ladbrokes have a market up on a second referendum to be held before July 2017 at odds of 10/1. My initial thought was no bet for me, but then I remembered Leave’s front man, Boris Johnson, has in the past talked about two referendums, “Johnson has told friends that a “no” vote is desirable because it would prompt Brussels to offer a much better deal, which the public could then support in a second referendum.” Though Boris has u-turned on…

Read More Read More

Four goods and a conclusion

Four goods and a conclusion

Comments 856 Comments

Cyclefree says it is notable that few in the Remain camp have sought to make a positive case for the EU.  So let me make some suggestions.  (And no, this gives you no clue as to my vote.)  The EU as a force for good. Who knows whether Western civilization will survive a Brexit.  It survived the temporary disappearance of Poland so it can surely survive the departure of a damp island in the middle of the North Sea.  But…

Read More Read More