With a batch of phone polls on the way LEAVE punters might be wise to defer their bets

With a batch of phone polls on the way LEAVE punters might be wise to defer their bets

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By the same token REMAIN backers should act now It’s becoming very apparent that the sequencing of polls by mode is having a a big impact on expectations about the outcome and, of course, the betting. When, like now, online surveys are coming out regularly but their are few phone ones then the prospects for OUT look better which is reflected in the betting. LEAVE us better value when phone polls predominate. We are currently in LEAVE high driven, I’d…

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Roger reviews the latest EU referendum broadcasts

Roger reviews the latest EU referendum broadcasts

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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=69sNgfbU9Gs Above the Latest Stronger In PPB, you can view the latest Vote Leave PPB by clicking here ‘Get your facts first then you can distort them as you please’  Mark Twain Over the last few weeks research companies running focus groups will have been dissecting psychoanalysing and picking to death the innermost thoughts of voters. When Seth Godin wrote “Facts are unimportant. What matters is what people believe.” This wasn’t meant as a lesson to advertisers on how to hoodwink…

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Tonight’s EURef online polls have it neck and neck

Tonight’s EURef online polls have it neck and neck

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Correction Latest @OpiniumResearch #EURef poll Remain 44 (+1) Leave 42 (+1) Fieldwork 7th June – 10th June https://t.co/lGhkC9rnTz — TSE (@TSEofPB) June 11, 2016 YouGov for Sunday Times:Leave 43%Remain 42% — Tim Shipman (@ShippersUnbound) June 11, 2016 YouGov for Sunday Times:Who is "scaremongering"?41% think Remain have done more, 28% think leave have done more. — Tim Shipman (@ShippersUnbound) June 11, 2016 YouGov/ST 55% think LEAVE exaggerated immigration claims but 49% say they're true63% think REMAIN exaggerated economy claims (40% true)…

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Cyclefree on What Do They Mean By That?

Cyclefree on What Do They Mean By That?

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Embed from Getty Images “What did he mean by that?” Metternich is reported to have said on hearing of the death of Talleyrand, Napoleon’s wily diplomat. The same question will be asked in the Chancelleries of Europe and elsewhere should Britain vote to leave the EU. But perhaps it is a more pertinent question to ask if Britain votes to remain, especially if the winning margin is narrow – as seems likely – and certainly less than the winning margin…

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Turnout: the EURef big unknown

Turnout: the EURef big unknown

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Embed from Getty Images Just how enthused is the general public? For those inside the political bubble, whether as practitioners, supporters or lobbyists on the inside, or commentators and observers watching on, it’s easy to forget how little politics matters to an enormous number of people. One in three people didn’t vote at the last general election, more than half of Londoners and Welsh didn’t do so in May and only slightly fewer than half in Scotland and N Ireland….

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ORB online poll is an Ode to Joy for Brexiteers as Leave increases their lead to 10%

ORB online poll is an Ode to Joy for Brexiteers as Leave increases their lead to 10%

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ORB ONLINE poll Turnout adjusted Leave 55 (+4) Remain 45 (-4) All voters Leave 53 (+3) Remain (-3) FW Wed/Thur https://t.co/ydJ08al3wi — TSE (@TSEofPB) June 10, 2016 ORB Wisdom index Remain 52 Leave 48 — TSE (@TSEofPB) June 10, 2016 Senior Labour IN sources are admitting the party's haemorrhaging votes badly to the Leave side in the #EUref . See my report @BBCNews at 6. — John Pienaar (@JPonpolitics) June 10, 2016 The ORB poll has seen a real shift…

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As Andy Burnham speaks about the very real prospect of Brexit, Corbyn should be worried

As Andy Burnham speaks about the very real prospect of Brexit, Corbyn should be worried

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Brexit might mean a leadership challenge for Corbyn via @georgeeaton https://t.co/A3Wh0opYPV pic.twitter.com/Q59jGGHxOg — TSE (@TSEofPB) June 10, 2016 When Labour’s Shadow Home Secretary says ‘The Remain campaign is facing the “very real prospect” of defeat in the referendum in two weeks’ time as it fails to reach traditional Labour voters’ it is clear the Remain campaign has issues. Whilst it is clear in the event of Leave winning, David Cameron will voluntarily resign or the Tory Party will revert back to Papua…

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The real winner of the debate last night

The real winner of the debate last night

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Buy Leadsom, sell Boris pic.twitter.com/zc7VLIUXrs — TSE (@TSEofPB) June 9, 2016 To outshine Boris is a real achievement, at 33/1 Andrea Leadsom is still value to be Cameron’s replacement. To overshadow Boris Johnson in a TV debate, is an achievement very few have managed. For that alone she should be worth backing. Her pre political career is something that will appeal to many, especially if the country wants someone who isn’t considered to be a career politician. Going back to…

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