politicalbetting.com – Page 1037 – The web's premier resource for political betting.

One more heave won’t do it. Labour MPs have to now either back Corbyn or split

31/8/2016 TSE Comments 0 Comment

The Labour party has changed fundamentally in the last 16 months. Labour MPs have an important decision to make. Should they stay, or should they go? If last night’s YouGov Labour leadership poll proves accurate, then Jeremy Corbyn will win with an even bigger mandate than last year. I’ve always had the hunch the Labour rebels had a one more heave approach with Corbyn, reduce his mandate this year, to soften him to be toppled in a future leadership contest….

Read More Read More

Corbyn set to win Labour leadership contest with even bigger mandate than last time YouGov poll finds.

30/8/2016 TSE Comments 0 Comment

Corbyn set to win Labour leadership contest with even bigger mandate than last time YouGov poll finds. pic.twitter.com/IdlCJtfdI9 — TSE (@TSEofPB) August 30, 2016 Exclusive: Corbyn on course for an increased mandate – YouGov poll in tomorrow's @thetimes 62 to 38 excl don't knows. 1/3 — Francis Elliott (@elliottengage) August 30, 2016 Corbyn emboldened to purge critics with 48 per cent backing reselection for all sitting MPs 2/3 — Francis Elliott (@elliottengage) August 30, 2016 Most eligible to vote in…

Read More Read More

Just imagine if this story happened during the general election campaign and not in the silly season 4 years before a general election

30/8/2016 TSE Comments 0 Comment

https://twitter.com/Ned_Donovan/status/770579305562836992 4:30pm – Richard Barbrook's old emails reveal he defended a banned book about 'good' and 'bad' paedophiles. https://t.co/vcqXjspNAg — Ned Donovan (@Ned_Donovan) August 30, 2016 Whatever the rights and wrongs of this story, perceptions can sometimes matter more than the facts. Either Jeremy Corbyn and his team didn’t know about Richard Barbook’s background or they didn’t care about it, either option is pretty damning about the political nous of Jeremy Corbyn and his advisers. TSE

“It’s the switcher’s wot won it” – will that be the verdict on Owen Smith’s victory?

30/8/2016 TSE Comments 0 Comment

I surprised a few friends in a previous posting when I declared I was a bit of a fan of Shadow Chancellor John McDonnell. I will surprise a few more when I say I am admirer of my former BBC boss John Birt. My enthusiasm stems in part from the fact that I was a Father of the Chapel for National Union of Journalists in Television News. Under the Birt regime there were lots of extra journalist jobs and progressive policies…

Read More Read More

In praise of Jeremy Corbyn

30/8/2016 TSE Comments 0 Comment

There’s a danger that we’re underestimating the Labour leader Outside of the Corbynites, the idée reçue amongst most of us is that Jeremy Corbyn leading Labour at a general election is going to lead Labour to experiencing an extinction level electoral defeat. On my most charitable days I’ll say Jeremy Corbyn has only two flaws, everything he says, and everything he does, but I’m going to challenge that perception and defend Jeremy Corbyn. Jeremy Corbyn – A very thick skinned politician One…

Read More Read More

Joff Wild on Jeremy Corbyn and an impending constitutional crisis

29/8/2016 TSE Comments 0 Comment

As leader of Her Majesty’s Most Loyal Opposition Jeremy Corbyn receives a salary of close to £138,000 per annum. On top of this, of course, he gets expenses and a generous pension package. Last week, he told us that he does not consider himself wealthy. Some may wonder whether a politician so out of touch with reality can ever be taken seriously, but not, it seems, a majority of Labour members; for on 24th September it is almost certainly going…

Read More Read More

This is why Mrs May will be unlikely to hold an early election

29/8/2016 TSE Comments 0 Comment

Boundary changes resulting from cutting the number of MPs from 650 to 600 could exacerbate Labour divisions as well as boosting the Tories. The Guardian are reporting that leading psephologist and former Tory MP Lord Hayward has looked at the forthcoming boundary review/reduction in the number of MPs, Two hundred Labour seats – more than 85% of the party’s total – could be affected by the review of parliamentary boundaries due next month, according to a detailed analysis of the…

Read More Read More

A tribute to Sir Antony Jay

28/8/2016 TSE Comments 0 Comment

Earlier on this week Sir Antony Jay, co-creator and writer of Yes Minister and Yes Prime Minister died. For my mind, both shows remain timeless, there’s the above clip about how leading questions can influence polling results, though the scene above was in the days before the BPC. The scene below is probably even more relevant in these post EU referendum days. But there many other clips I could have used to show the genius of this show. TSE