Don Brind evokes Mrs Thatcher’s memorable assertion It’s International Peace Day and I’m in the strange position, for me, of defending Jeremy Corbyn. My audience is someone who ought to be a natural Corbynista – a veteran campaigner for peace and international development. “I like Jeremy as a person,” I tell her”. He’s a decent man.” She is having none of it. “I think he’s a vain old man. He’s loving all that adulation but he’s peddling false hope.” Fast…
On Betfair it is now Clinton 68% Trump 30% Well over £3m was traded on Betfair as the market moves back to Hillary Clinton following a confident first debate performance against Donald Trump. This is how Taegan Goddard of Political Wire summed up the night’s event: “. Clinton was particularly effective when needling him on not releasing his tax returns, saying, “Why won’t he release his tax returns? Maybe he’s not as rich as he says he is.” Trump couldn’t…
The Presidential Debate – LIVE here from 0200 GMT https://t.co/40NrTPDvL3 via @YouTube — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 26, 2016
This was the election result. Eligible voters: 654,006 Votes cast: 506,438 Spoilt ballots: 1,042 Corbyn: 313,209 – 61.85% Smith: 193,229 – 38.15% Margin: 23.70% Alex Bolton and John Loony will win in addition to the bragging rights copies of what’s set to be the political best seller of 2016 which has just been published. This is the follow up to the 2015 hit “Sex, Lies and the Ballot Box” called imaginatively “More Sex, Lies and the Ballot Box”. It is…
Findings from the latest ICM and ComRes polls
In previous White House Races the first debate has been seen as a sort of official start to hostilities. This is said to be the point when voters start to get engaged. This time that is much less so because public interest in the fight to succeed Obama has been far higher than anything we’ve seen before. The fight for the GOP nomination saw the biggest TV debate audiences ever and records are expected to be broken overnight. The reason…
Just because you know something bad is going to happen does not make it less painful when it does. Since the day that the Labour leadership contest was announced I had been pretty sure that Jeremy Corbyn would win again. I knew with absolute certainty that it would be so one Sunday in late August when I went – nervous, but excited – to an Owen Smith phone bank in the upstairs room of a pub around the corner from…
2031 onwards is the favourite for when Labour will next form a majority government. Sometimes a betting market beautifully captures the political zeitgeist, and this market from William Hill eloquently expresses Labour’s current predicament with Jeremy Corbyn as leader, it’s not so much Labour are up a certain creek without a paddle, Labour are up that creek sans a canoe too. If I were forced to choose, I’d go for the 2031 onwards option, but I’m loathe to place bets for time periods…