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So far no conference or JC re-election bounce for LAB

30/9/2016 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

No change at YouGov following events of last week New YouGov hasCON 39LAB 30LD 8UKIP 13Unchanged on last week — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 30, 2016 New findings on TMay TMay's net YouGov "Well/badly" ratings down from +31% on Sep 4 to +24%. By 42% to 26% sample said she "doesn't "care for people like me" — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 30, 2016 YouGov. Is TMay up to the job of being PMYes 52%No 19%40% of GE2015 LAB voters say…

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A new settlement for Europe?

30/9/2016 TSE Comments 0 Comment

It was said of the Thane of Cawdor that “Nothing in his life became him like the leaving it.” Well Britain may not be an ambitious murderer driven to evil deeds by superstitious prophecies (though some on the Remain side or in Continental Europe might well think otherwise). And it has not left anything yet. But two months on from the referendum, the swift defenestration of one ruler, his replacement by the well-shod Rosa Klebb of the Tory party…

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This will go down as one of the classic Andrew Neil interviews

29/9/2016 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

Meanwhile ahead of the CON conference Ken Clarke goes on the attack over BREXIT

29/9/2016 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

TMay "is running a 'government with no policies", vetern Tory minister Ken Clarke declares https://t.co/LTQLMZkbm2 via @telegraphnews — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 29, 2016 The longstanding pro-European isn’t happy Next in line this conference season are the Conservatives who are in their traditional final place slot. Inevitably BREXIT, what it actually means and the timetable, will dominate and you can expect all sides to be vocal. Kicking off is the former CON leadership contender and Chancellor, the veteran Ken Clarke. In…

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The impact of the 1st debate on WH2016 & the prospects now for Corbyn: this week’s PB/Polling Matters TV show/podcast

28/9/2016 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

After a big few days in both UK and US politics the PB/Polling Matters looks in detail at the impact of Corbyn’s re-election and where the Trump-Clinton battle stands now. How much importance should we attach to the instant post debate polling and in the UK is there any way that Corbyn can now move forward following his convincing leadership victory. Joining Keiran Pedley (@keiranpedley) are Rob Vance (@robvance) and Leo (@leobarasi) Rob highights the post debate polling showing a…

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Trump winning the online, unscientific, polling

28/9/2016 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

Every on-line poll, Time Magazine, Drudge etc., has me winning the debate. Thank you to Fox & Friends for so reporting! — Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) September 28, 2016 Such a great honor. Final debate polls are in – and the MOVEMENT wins!#AmericaFirst #MAGA #ImWithYouhttps://t.co/3KWOl2ibaW pic.twitter.com/sfCEE3I5pF — Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) September 27, 2016 With many votes originating from Russian troll farms — Spartacus (@nevakissedatory) September 28, 2016 Why PB is introducing a new policy on voodoo poll comments PB…

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A former odds-on favourite for the Democratic nomination says the LDs could form the next UK government

28/9/2016 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

https://twitter.com/GovHowardDean/status/780364710172585985 Back in late 2003, not too long after the Iraq War, the governor of Vermont, Howard Dean, was causing a stir on the WH2004 betting markets. He had become just about the first politician to tap into the power of the internet and was running a very effective online campaign building up hundreds of thousands of supporters. By early January 2004 ahead of the Iowa caucuses he looked unstoppable with the money and, apparently, campaign organisation see see him…

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If Seamus Milne really is going then that could help efforts to help unify Labour

28/9/2016 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

Big LAB news is that this could be the end for JC's controversial spin chief, Seamus Milnehttps://t.co/g494PEGRbT pic.twitter.com/IzXZfwsGNA — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 28, 2016 The worst possible appointment Corbyn could have made.The only way he could top it would be with @paulmasonnews — ForgottenGenius (@ExStrategist) September 28, 2016 Is he becoming the sacrificial lamb? We don’t know yet whether the highly controversial Milne is actually going but judging by the Tweets that’s been the buzz from Liverpool overnight. There’s…

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